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Oregon vs USC: BCS Odds Impact

After beating Stanford last Saturday, the Oregon Ducks are back in the BCS Championship conversation and they control their own destiny in the Pac-12.

They get their toughest remaining opponent this week at home against the USC Trojans.

Oregon is 3-1 both SU and ATS in their last four games against USC. LaMichael James rushed for 146 yards and three touchdowns in Oregon’s win over Stanford.

Supporters of the Trojans have seen them go 8-2 and 6-4 ATS so far this season, while the Ducks are at 9-1 and 6-4 ATS. In totals betting, the Ducks are 6-4, while the Trojans are 5-5.

View Southern Cal vs Oregon Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Bettors looking to side with the Ducks in this one will find them as 14.5-point favorites. The NCAA football over under was at 69 with the best OVER number at Bovada and the best underdog line on USC also at Bovada.

Power Rankings / Prediction: The Power Rankings at OddsShark have the No. 30-rated Trojans taking on the No. 37-rated Ducks in this contest. Handicapping models indicate a 57-41 win for the Ducks on Saturday.

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How They Match Up:
The game also pits Oregon's No. 3-ranked offense, averaging 46.7 PPG, against a Trojans defense that ranks No. 55 this week at 24.8 PPG. The Ducks aerial game is averaging 206.5 yards per game, less than the Trojans secondary allows through the air, 263.4 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Trojans own the league's No. 7-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 94.8 yards per game when on the road. Oregon, on the other hand, rates No. 5 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Last time out for Southern Cal, they were a 40-17 winner as they battled Washington at home. Southern Cal covered in the match as a 11-point favorite, while 57 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

Oregon won its last outing, a 53-30 result against Stanford on November 12. Oregon covered in that game as a 2.5-point underdog, while the 83 combined points took the game OVER the total.

Southern Cal Trojans Trends:
When playing in November are 7-3
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 7-3

Oregon Ducks Trends:
When playing in November are 9-1
When playing on turf are 9-1
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 10-0

A few Trojans at Ducks trends to consider:
Southern Cal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Southern Cal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Cal's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Cal's last 6 games when playing Oregon
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oregon's last 9 games at home
Oregon is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Southern Cal

Next up:
Southern Cal home to UCLA, Saturday, November 26
Oregon home to Oregon State, Saturday, November 26

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