Outback Bowl betting preview

In one of the three Big Ten-SEC bowl match-up of this season 8-4 Michigan takes on 10-2 South Carolina in the Outback Bowl New Year's Day in Tampa (1 pm ET, ESPN).

Early Outback Bowl odds were showing the Gamecocks, who went 6-2 in SEC play this season, as five-point favorites over the Wolverines, who went 6-2 in Big Ten play.

Eight of the past 11 Outback Bowls played OVER total, while Michigan backers have suffered through a 3-6-1 ATS run in 10 recent bowls. [ More Outback Bowl betting stats, trends and matchup info ]

View Michigan vs South Carolina Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: The home team opened as 4-point favorites in this NCAA football battle at 5Dimes. The over under line was 48 in early bowl betting at Bovada.

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Michigan Bowl History


Year Bowl Team1 Score Team2 Score Team2Line ATS win
1995 Alamo Bowl Michigan 20 Texas A&M 22 5 TEXA&M
1996 Outback Bowl Alabama 17 Michigan 14 1 ALAB
1997 Rose Bowl Washington State 16 Michigan 21 -7 WSHST
1998 Capital One Bowl Arkansas 31 Michigan 45 -2.5 MICH
1999 Orange Bowl Michigan 35 Alabama 34 -2.5 MICH
2000 Capital One Bowl Auburn 28 Michigan 31 -8 AUBRN
2001 Capital One Bowl Michigan 17 Tennessee 45 -3.5 TENN
2002 Outback Bowl Florida 30 Michigan 38 -1.5 MICH
2003 Rose Bowl Michigan 14 Southern Cal 28 -7 USC
2004 Rose Bowl Michigan 37 Texas 38 -7 MICH
2005 Alamo Bowl Nebraska 32 Michigan 28 -10 NEBR
2006 Rose Bowl Michigan 18 Southern Cal 32 2 USC
2007 Capital One Bowl Michigan 41 Florida 35 -10.5 MICH
2010 Gator Bowl Michigan 14 Mississippi State 52 -3 MIS.ST
2011 Sugar Bowl Michigan 23 Virginia Tech 20 3 Push

South Carolina Bowl History


Year Bowl Team1 Score Team2 Score Team2Line ATS win
2000 Outback Bowl South Carolina 24 Ohio State 7 -6.5 S.CARO
2001 Outback Bowl Ohio State 28 South Carolina 31 0 S.CARO
2005 Independence Bowl Missouri 38 South Carolina 31 -3.5 MIZZOU
2006 Liberty Bowl Houston 36 South Carolina 44 -5 S.CARO
2008 Outback Bowl Iowa 31 South Carolina 10 3.5 IOWA
2009 Papajohns.com Bowl Connecticut 20 South Carolina 7 -4 CONN
2010 Chick-Fil-A Bowl Florida State 26 South Carolina 17 -2.5 FLAST
2011 Capital One Bowl Nebraska 13 South Carolina 30 -3 S.CARO

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up South Carolina's No. 43-ranked offense (31.4 PPG) against a Wolverines defense that ranks No. 16 at 18.8 PPG. The Gamecocks passing attack has averaged 229.5 yards per game, more than the Wolverines give up through the air (155.2 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Wolverines feature the league's No. 41-rated road run defense, allowing 146.2 yards per game. South Carolina, meanwhile, ranks No. 77 in rushing offense at home.

Last time out for Michigan, they were a 26-21 loser as they battled Ohio State on the road. Michigan failed to cover in the match as a 4-point underdog, while 47 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. In their last game, Michigan got a 122-yard performance from Denard Robinson, but Ohio State prevailed 26-21.

South Carolina was a 27-17 winner in its last match on the road against Clemson. They covered the 6.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 44 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. Dylan Thompson throttled the Tigers defense in his team's most recent action, throwing for 310 yards as South Carolina handed Clemson a 27-17 defeat.

Michigan Wolverines Trends:
When playing in January are 5-5
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 7-3
When an underdog on the road are 2-8

South Carolina Gamecocks Trends:
When playing in January are 3-2
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When favored at home are 10-0

A few Wolverines at Gamecocks trends to consider:
Michigan is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
Michigan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
South Carolina is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games

 

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