Pitt vs UConn betting preview
The Pitt Panthers, coming off their near-upset of Notre Dame, look to rebound when they visit Storrs to play the UConn Huskies Friday night (8 pm ET, ESPN2).
Pitt, which had a shot to beat the Irish but missed a short field-goal in overtime Saturday, were early 3.5-point favorites over the Huskies, who have lost their last four games.
Betting Line: Those siding with the visitors in this one saw the Panthers listed as 3.5-point favorites earlier this week at Bovada. Meanwhile, the over under line was sitting at 44 earlier in the week at BetOnline.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Huskies rated this week at No. 75 and the Panthers sitting at No. 22. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 28-20 result in favor of the Panthers this week.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Connecticut's No. 120-ranked offense, averaging 16.6 PPG, against a Panthers defense that ranks No. 38 this week at 22.6 PPG. The Huskies aerial game is averaging 235.9 yards per game, more than the Panthers secondary allows through the air, 209.1 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Panthers feature the league's No. 82-rated road run defense, allowing 194.8 yards per game. Connecticut, meanwhile, ranks No. 115 in rushing offense at home.
Pittsburgh lost its last outing, a 29-26 result against Notre Dame on November 3. Pittsburgh covered in that game as a 16.5-point underdog, while the 55 combined points took the game OVER the total. Last time we saw the Panthers, they had no answer for WinningRB as the Fighting Irish rolled to a 29-26 victory at Notre Dame Stadium.
Connecticut lost its last outing, a 13-6 result against South Florida on November 3. Connecticut earned a push in that game as a 7-point underdog, while the 19 combined points took the game UNDER the total. In their last game, the Huskies were Week 10 losers coming out on the wrong end of 13-6 score against South Florida.
Pittsburgh Panthers Trends:
When playing in November are 4-6
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 4-6
Connecticut Huskies Trends:
When playing in November are 7-3
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 3-7
A few Panthers at Huskies trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Connecticut
Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Connecticut
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games at home
Connecticut is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh home to Rutgers, Saturday, November 24
Connecticut at Louisville, Saturday, November 24