Penn State Michigan Odds Preview
The Wolverines opened as 1-point favorites, but the line quickly grew to -3 early in the week. It’s easy to see why bettors are fading Penn State.
The Nittany Lions were blown out by Indiana last week and have lost two of three. Penn State is 1-5-1 against the spread in its last six games as home underdogs.
But Penn State has won three straight over the Wolverines, covering the spread in each of the victories. Overall, the Wolverines have won 9 of the past 12 meetings.
Last season’s meeting in Happy Valley was a shootout, with Penn State pulling out a 41-31 win.
Michigan pulled away from Minnesota last week to improve to 5-0, but have struggled on the road. The Wolverines are a money-losing 6-14 against the spread in their last 20 road games.
According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 27-rated Nittany Lions and the No. 18-rated Wolverines in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 43-36 win for the Wolverines on Saturday.
Christian Hackenberg's 340-yard performance through the air wasn't enough last time out, as Indiana earned a 44-24 win over Penn State on Saturday at Memorial Stadium.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Penn State's No. 56-ranked offense (31.4 PPG) against a Wolverines defense that ranks No. 27 at 19.4 PPG. The Nittany Lions passing attack has averaged 279.4 yards per game, more than the Wolverines give up through the air (214.6 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Wolverines own the league's No. 26-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 110.5 yards per game when on the road. Penn State, on the other hand, rates No. 30 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Wolverines at Nittany Lions trends to consider:
Michigan is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Michigan's last 10 games
Penn State is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 games
Penn State is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Penn State's last 13 games
Michigan at Indiana, Saturday, October 19th
Penn State at Ohio State, Saturday, October 26th