Baylor vs UL Monroe Betting Pick
Baylor has lost four of five road games of late, but they opened as 9-point favorites for Friday night's college football matchup against Louisiana-Monroe.
The Bears are 2-0, but are 0-5 ATS in their past five road games and they face a Warhawks team that has upset Arkansas and nearly upset Auburn a week ago.
Betting Line: Sportsbooks set the Warhawks as 9-point underdogs on the opening line for this contest, but it was bet down to -7.5 by Thursday at Bovada. The total was a whopping 68.5 at GTbets.eu and nearly 60% of the over-under action was on the OVER.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Warhawks rated this week at No. 7 and the Bears sitting at No. 24. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 65-35 result in favor of the Bears this week.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Louisiana-Monroe's No. 57-ranked offense (31 PPG) against a Bears defense that ranks No. 65 at 23.5 PPG. The Warhawks passing attack has averaged 328.5 yards per game, more than the Bears give up through the air (323.5 YPG on average).
Baylor won its last outing, a 48-23 result against Sam Houston State on September 15. Since it involved a non-board school, there was no point spread or total on the game. Nick Florence throttled the BearKats defense in his team's most recent action, throwing for 312 yards as Baylor handed Sam Houston State a 48-23 defeat.
In their last action, Louisiana-Monroe was a 31-28 loser on the road against Auburn. They covered the 14.5-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (59) was profitable news for OVER bettors. The Warhawks suffered a Week 3 loss against Auburn in their last game, falling 31-28 at Jordan-Hare Stadium.
Baylor Bears Trends:
When playing in September are 9-1
When playing on grass are 1-9
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing outside the conference are 8-2
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Trends:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 3-7
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 3-7
A few Bears at Warhawks trends to consider:
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baylor's last 5 games on the road
Baylor is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Baylor is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 8 games
Louisiana-Monroe is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 6 games at home
Louisiana-Monroe is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
Baylor at West Virginia, Saturday, September 29
Louisiana-Monroe at Tulane, Saturday, September 29