Alabama vs Missouri: SEC betting preview

Top-ranked Alabama makes its second SEC road trip of the season to take on new conference member Missouri Saturday afternoon in Columbia (3:30 pm ET, CBS).

 

The 5-0 Tide, coming off a bye week, were early 21-point favorites over the 3-3 Tigers, who just lost to Vandy. That number had been bet up at Bovada to 22.5 points by late Friday.

Mizzou has played four straight UNDERs and the best UNDER line was 44 at Bovada at last report.

View Alabama vs Missouri Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Bettors looking to side with the Tigers in this one found them as 17.5-point underdogs at GTbets.eu. The over under number was slated to open a short time later.

Power Rankings / Prediction: The Tigers sit at No. 49 in the current NCAAF Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Crimson Tide are at No. 1 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Crimson Tide will win this game 57-26.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Missouri's No. 81-ranked offense (25.3 PPG) against a Crimson Tide defense that ranks No. 1 at 7 PPG. The Tigers passing attack has averaged 216.7 yards per game, more than the Crimson Tide give up through the air (125.8 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Crimson Tide feature the league's No. 8-rated road run defense, allowing 58 yards per game. Missouri, meanwhile, ranks No. 82 in rushing offense at home.

Last time out for Alabama, they were a 33-14 winner as they battled Mississippi at home. Alabama failed to cover in the match as a 31-point favorite, while 47 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. The Crimson Tide grabbed a Week 5 victory over the Rebels in their last game, winning 33-14 at Bryant-Denny Stadium.

Missouri was a 19-15 loser in their most recent outing at home against Vanderbilt. They failed to cover the 7-point spread as favorites, while the total score (34) made winners of UNDER bettors. Missouri lost its last outing 19-15 against Vanderbilt on Saturday, getting a 101-yard receiving performance from Bud Sasser in a losing cause at Memorial Stadium.

Alabama Crimson Tide Trends:
When playing in October are 9-1
When playing on turf are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing within the conference are 9-1

Missouri Tigers Trends:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 5-5

A few Crimson Tide at Tigers trends to consider:
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Alabama's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Alabama's last 6 games on the road
Missouri is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Missouri's last 5 games
Missouri is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Missouri is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Next up:
Alabama at Tennessee, Saturday, October 20
Missouri home to Kentucky, Saturday, October 27

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