Oregon three-TD chalk against UCLA
Can anyone slow down Oregon? The Ducks appear to be on collision course with Alabama in a potential BCS National Championship Game – unless a Pac-12 foe pulls off a stunner in the final month and half of the season.
The UCLA Bruins will give it a shot on Saturday, but are 21.5-point road underdogs. The Bruins are coming off a 24-10 loss at Stanford last week.
Oregon beat Washington State, but failed to cover the spread for the first time in its last 10 games. The Ducks have covered the spread in eight of their last 10 home games and are 6-1 ATS in seven home games as chalk of 20 or more points.
These two teams last met in 2011, with Oregon winning 49-31. The Ducks have won the last three meetings overall.
This season the Ducks are 7-0 overall and 6-1 ATS against the number, while the Bruins are 5-1 and 5-1 ATS. As for the totals, Oregon is 5-2 on the OU, and UCLA is 2-4.
The Power Rankings at OddsShark have the No. 26-rated Bruins taking on the No. 4-rated Ducks in this contest. Handicapping models indicate a 58-30 win for the Ducks on Saturday.
Last time out for UCLA, they were a 24-10 loser as they battled Stanford on the road. UCLA failed to cover in the match as a 4-point underdog, while 34 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. The Bruins suffered a Week 8 loss against Stanford in their last game, falling 24-10 at Stanford Stadium. In their last game, Oregon's aerial attack generated 327 yards and the Ducks came away with a 62-38 victory over Washington State at Autzen Stadium.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Oregon's No. 2-ranked offense, averaging 57.57 PPG, against a Bruins defense that ranks No. 18 this week at 19.17 PPG. The Ducks aerial game is averaging 310.71 yards per game, more than the Bruins secondary allows through the air, 210.17 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Bruins feature the league's No. 40-rated road run defense, allowing 139.67 yards per game. Oregon, meanwhile, ranks No. 4 in rushing offense at home.
A few Bruins at Ducks trends to consider:
UCLA is 4-1-1 SU in its last 6 games
UCLA is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
UCLA is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
UCLA is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games on the road
Oregon is 5-0-1 SU in its last 6 games
Oregon is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Oregon is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing UCLA
UCLA at Colorado, Saturday, November 2nd
Oregon at Stanford, Thursday, November 7th