Oregon vs Arizona State Betting Pick
In what could be a very entertaining game out in the Pac-12 Oregon, No. 3 in this week's BCS standings, hits the road for just the second time this season to take on 5-1 Arizona State Thursday night in Tempe (9 pm ET, ESPN).
The 6-0 Ducks, who are only 2-4 ATS this year, were early 12-point favorites over the Sun Devils, who are 5-1 ATS.
Power Rankings / Prediction: According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 6-rated Sun Devils and the No. 43-rated Ducks in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 64-58 win for the Ducks on Thursday.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Arizona State's No. 17-ranked offense (40.5 PPG) against a Ducks defense that ranks No. 32 at 20 PPG. The Sun Devils passing attack has averaged 291.2 yards per game, more than the Ducks give up through the air (233 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Ducks own the league's No. 1-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing -8 yards per game when on the road. Arizona State, on the other hand, rates No. 31 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Last time out for Oregon, they were a 52-21 winner as they battled Washington at home. Oregon covered in the match as a 25.5-point favorite, while 73 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. In their last game, Oregon got a 122-yard performance from Kenjon Barner as a key part of its 52-21 win over Washington.
Arizona State was a 51-17 winner in its last match on the road against Colorado. They covered the 22-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 68 sent OVER bettors to the payout window. Taylor Kelly throttled the Buffaloes defense in his team's most recent action, throwing for 308 yards as Arizona State handed Colorado a 51-17 defeat.
Oregon Ducks Trends:
When playing in October are 10-0
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing within the conference are 9-1
Arizona State Sun Devils Trends:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 5-5
A few Ducks at Sun Devils trends to consider:
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona State
Oregon is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona State
Arizona State is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Arizona State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Arizona State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona State's last 5 games when playing Oregon
Oregon home to Colorado, Saturday, October 27
Arizona State home to UCLA, Saturday, October 27