Notre Dame vs USC Betting Preview
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have beaten Southern Cal twice in three years after a long losing streak, but they are favored on Saturday, looking to improve their 1-4-1 ATS mark.
USC had won eight in a row in this series before the recent run of prosperity for Notre Dame bettors. And they have won five in a row here at Notre Dame, part of a trend that has seen the road team win five of six recent meetings.
The Odds Shark computer predicts a 29-26 upset for the Trojans, which would continue these betting streaks through to next season.
The Fighting Irish currently sports a record of 4-2, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 1-4-1 ATS. The Trojans are 4-2 and 2-4 ATS. Betting totals have seen the Fighting Irish post a 4-2 over under record this season, while the Trojans have gone 3-3 against the number.
The Fighting Irish - Trojans odds would favor the Fighting Irish if the lines were set according to power ranks. Notre Dame is rated No. 44 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Trojans sit at No. 56. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 29-26 win for the Trojans.
In their last action, Southern Cal was a 38-31 winner at home against Arizona. They covered the 5.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (69) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Notre Dame won its last game, 37-34 over Arizona State on Saturday, behind a 135-yard receiving performance from TJ Jones at AT&T Stadium.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Notre Dame's No. 80-ranked offense (27.33 PPG) against a Trojans defense that ranks No. 41 at 22.83 PPG. The Fighting Irish passing attack has averaged 250.5 yards per game, more than the Trojans give up through the air (233.17 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Trojans feature the league's No. 38-rated road run defense, allowing 142 yards per game. Notre Dame, meanwhile, ranks No. 84 in rushing offense at home.
A few Trojans at Fighting Irish trends to consider:
Southern Cal is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games
Southern Cal is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Southern Cal is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Southern Cal's last 15 games
Notre Dame is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Notre Dame is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Notre Dame is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Notre Dame is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
Southern Cal at Utah, Saturday, October 26th
Notre Dame at Air Force, Saturday, October 26th