Point spread favors Rebels in battle with Commodores

Vanderbilt CommodoresMississippi Rebels
Nov 10, 7:00 PM | Turf of Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi Rebels Odds

5-4TEAM RECORD5-4

Two teams in search of one more victory to become bowl-eligible meet when 5-4 Vanderbilt visits 5-4 Mississippi Saturday night (7 pm ET, ESPNU).

Ole Miss, coming off a loss to Georgia, was an early three-point favorite over Vandy, which has won three games in a row.

View Vanderbilt vs Mississippi Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: The Rebels were listed as 2.5-point favorites at sportsbooks such as Bovada on the college football lines.

Power Rankings / Prediction: The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Rebels rated this week at No. 60 and the Commodores sitting at No. 49. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 33-27 result in favor of the Commodores this week.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Mississippi's No. 56-ranked offense (29.9 PPG) against a Commodores defense that ranks No. 14 at 17.1 PPG. The Rebels passing attack has averaged 230.3 yards per game, more than the Commodores give up through the air (151.9 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Commodores own the league's No. 77-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 186 yards per game when on the road. Mississippi, on the other hand, rates No. 29 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Vanderbilt won its last outing, a 40-0 result against Kentucky on November 3. Vanderbilt covered in that game as a 7-point favorite, while the 40 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Kentucky didn’t make much of a game of it last time out, losing to the Commodores as Vanderbilt blasted them 40-0 in Week 10 action.

In their last action, Mississippi was a 37-10 loser on the road against Georgia. They failed to cover the 13.5-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (47) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. Mississippi didn’t make much of a game of it last time out, losing to the Bulldogs as Georgia blasted them 37-10 in Week 10 action.

Vanderbilt Commodores Trends:
When playing in November are 3-7
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing within the conference are 4-6

Mississippi Rebels Trends:
When playing in November are 1-9
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 2-8
When playing within the conference are 2-8

A few Commodores at Rebels trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games when playing Mississippi
Vanderbilt is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games on the road
Vanderbilt is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi's last 5 games when playing Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi's last 6 games
Mississippi is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Vanderbilt
Mississippi is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home

Next up:
Vanderbilt home to Tennessee, Saturday, November 17
Mississippi at LSU, Saturday, November 17

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