ACC Title Game, FSU vs Duke Odds
You’ll be hard pressed to find a conference championship game with a larger point spread than this year’s ACC Championship Game between Florida State and Duke.
The Seminoles are 28-point favorites over the upstart Blue Devils, who have never beaten Florida State. But that line could change drastically, if news breaks regarding FSU star quarterback Jameis Winston’s legal status.
Winston is the focus of sexual assault allegations, but charges had not been filed entering the week.
With Winston, the Seminoles have been dominant. They are 12-0 straight-up and 10-2 against the spread. A win over Duke would lock up a spot in the BCS National Championship Game.
The Blue Devils won 10 games for the first time in school history and are also 10-2 against the spread. Duke has covered the spread in its last five games as an underdog. Expect them to get the most points from Bovada as the week progresses.
FSU doesn't mind big spreads. In nine games this year facing a line of 20 or more points, they are 7-2 ATS. And they have covered five straight big numbers against Duke, winning by a combined total score of 220-77.
The Seminoles are 5-1 ATS in their past 6 conference games, while Duke has covered seven straight within the ACC.
Supporters of the Blue Devils have seen them go 10-2 and 10-2 ATS so far this season, while the Seminoles are at 12-0 and 10-2 ATS. In totals betting, the Seminoles are 10-2, while the Blue Devils are 5-7.
The visitors opened as 27.5-point underdogs in this one but were bet to nearly +30 at Bovada and most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark. The total opened at 62 at BetOnline who were first to post an over under on the ACC championship betting menu.
The game pits the Seminoles, currently No. 1 in our OddsShark NCAAF Power Rankings, against the Blue Devils, who rate No. 44 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 68-38 victory for the Seminoles.
Last time out for Duke, they were a 27-25 winner as they battled North Carolina on the road. Duke covered in the match as a 5-point underdog, while 52 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. In their last game, the Blue Devils were Week 14 winners, coming out on top of the Tar Heels by a score of 27-25.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Florida State's No. 2-ranked offense, averaging 53.67 PPG, against a Blue Devils defense that ranks No. 37 this week at 23 PPG. The Seminoles aerial game is averaging 321.33 yards per game, more than the Blue Devils secondary allows through the air, 225.17 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Blue Devils feature the league's No. 34-rated road run defense, allowing 142.2 yards per game. Florida State, meanwhile, ranks No. 18 in rushing offense at home.
A few Blue Devils at Seminoles trends to consider:
Duke is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Duke is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Florida State
Duke is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida State
Florida State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Florida State's last 12 games
Florida State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Duke