Ragin' Cajuns vs Mean Green Preview
The college football action gets started early this week, down in the Sun Belt Conference, where Louisiana-Lafayette, off to a 4-1 start, visits Denton to take on 2-4 North Texas Tuesday night (9 pm ET, ESPN2).
The Ragin' Cajuns, now playing without starting QB Blaine Gautier, have beaten the Mean Green five times in a row.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The Mean Green sit at No. 27 in the current NCAAF Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Ragin` Cajuns are at No. 80 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Ragin` Cajuns will win this game 41-21.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits North Texas's No. 109-ranked offense, averaging 19.5 PPG, against a Ragin` Cajuns defense that ranks No. 53 this week at 24.4 PPG. The Mean Green aerial game is averaging 206.7 yards per game, less than the Ragin` Cajuns secondary allows through the air, 294.6 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Ragin` Cajuns feature the league's No. 84-rated road run defense, allowing 195 yards per game. North Texas, meanwhile, ranks No. 15 in rushing offense at home.
Last time out for Louisiana-Lafayette, they were a 41-13 winner as they battled Tulane at home. Louisiana-Lafayette failed to cover in the match as a 30.5-point favorite, while 54 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Tulane was unable to contain Alonzo Harris in its last action Saturday and the result was a 41-13 Week 6 loss against the Ragin` Cajuns.
Last time out for North Texas, they were a 44-21 loser as they battled Houston on the road. North Texas failed to cover in the match as a 10-point underdog, while 65 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. North Texas didn’t make much of a game of it last time out, losing to the Cougars as Houston blasted them 44-21 in Week 6 action.
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns Trends:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 8-2
North Texas Mean Green Trends:
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 5-5
A few Ragin` Cajuns at Mean Green trends to consider:
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing North Texas
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 5 games when playing North Texas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Texas's last 5 games when playing Louisiana-Lafayette
North Texas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
North Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
North Texas is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games at home
Louisiana-Lafayette home to Arkansas State, Tuesday, October 23
North Texas at Middle Tennessee, Saturday, October 27