UNLV vs Air Force: NCAA Preview
Falcon Stadium will feature an Air Force vs UNLV battle on Thursday as both teams try to pay off for bettors in Mountain West football betting action.
The Falcons are 9-2 SU in their past 11 meetings of these MWC foes, although the Rebels have covered four spreads in 11 tries. The total has played OVER in six of the past seven meetings.
The UNDER is 9-3 in the past dozen UNLV games against conference opponents while Air Force has lost seven straight conference games SU dating back to last season.
Backers of the Falcons have seen them go 2-8 and 3-7 ATS so far this season, while the Rebels are at 5-5 and 6-4 ATS. In totals betting, the Rebels are 4-5-1, while the Falcons are 6-4.
Several shops tracked by OddsShark (including Bovada) set the point spread at PK early in the week but the line moved to -2 by Thursday in favor of the home side. The total was hovering around 60.5 at GTbets.eu.
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Falcons rated this week at No. 116 and the Rebels sitting at No. 95. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 25-18 result in favor of the Rebels this week.
Last time out for UNLV, they were a 28-24 loser as they battled Utah State at home. UNLV covered in the match as a 15.5-point underdog, while 52 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Anthony LaCoste ran through the New Mexico defense for 177 yards in Air Force's last game, but the Falcons still lost a 45-37 decision at University Stadium.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Air Force's No. 81-ranked offense, averaging 26.2 PPG, against a Rebels defense that ranks No. 101 this week at 33.8 PPG. The Falcons aerial game is averaging 106.4 yards per game, less than the Rebels secondary allows through the air, 225.5 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Rebels own the league's No. 115-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 263.5 yards per game when on the road. Air Force, on the other hand, rates No. 12 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Rebels at Falcons trends to consider:
UNLV is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
UNLV is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UNLV's last 5 games
UNLV is 6-18-1 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
Air Force is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Air Force is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Air Force's last 9 games
Air Force is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
UNLV home to San Diego State, Saturday, November 30th
Air Force at Colorado State, Saturday, November 30th