Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Mississippi Rebels Odds
In the annual Egg Bowl 5-6 Ole Miss and 8-3 Mississippi State get together in Oxford Saturday night (7 pm ET, ESPNU).
The Bulldogs, who just broke a three-game losing streak with a victory over Arkansas, were early one-point dogs vs. the Rebels, who have lost their last three games and the last three games in this series.
Power Rankings / Prediction: According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 57-rated Rebels and the No. 38-rated Bulldogs in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 38-29 win for the Bulldogs on Saturday.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Mississippi's No. 54-ranked offense (30 PPG) against a Bulldogs defense that ranks No. 24 at 20.7 PPG. The Rebels passing attack has averaged 253.8 yards per game, more than the Bulldogs give up through the air (217.5 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Bulldogs feature the league's No. 46-rated road run defense, allowing 151.2 yards per game. Mississippi, meanwhile, ranks No. 45 in rushing offense at home.
Mississippi State was a 45-14 winner in their most recent outing at home against Arkansas. They covered the 4.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (59) made winners of OVER bettors. Arkansas didn’t make much of a game of it last time out, losing to the Bulldogs as Mississippi State blasted them 45-14 in Week 12 action.
Last time out for Mississippi, they were a 41-35 loser as they battled LSU on the road. Mississippi covered in the match as a 18-point underdog, while 76 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. In their last game, Mississippi's aerial attack generated 310 yards but it was the Tigers coming away with a 41-35 victory over Mississippi at Tiger Stadium.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Trends:
When playing in November are 4-6
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 5-5
Mississippi Rebels Trends:
When playing in November are 0-10
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 2-8
A few Bulldogs at Rebels trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Mississippi
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 6 games when playing Mississippi
Mississippi State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi
Mississippi State is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi's last 5 games when playing at home against Mississippi State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi's last 6 games when playing Mississippi State
Mississippi is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Mississippi State
Mississippi is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Mississippi State