Arkansas State Red Wolves vs North Texas Mean Green Odds
The North Texas Mean Green host Arkansas State on Saturday, looking to build on their 3-5 ATS mark against the 5-3 Red Wolves in NCAAF action at Apogee Stadium.
The Red Wolves will try to spoil to the party on Saturday; they are 4-4 ATS against the number this season, while the Mean Green are 3-5 ATS. Arkansas State is 4-3 on the totals; North Texas is 4-3.
Betting Line: Bettors looking to back the visiting Red Wolves in this one found them as 3-point favorites on the opening college football point spread at TopBet. Bookmark the college football odds pages to see where the over under number opens in this game.
Power Rankings / Prediction: According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 34-rated Mean Green and the No. 42-rated Red Wolves in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 33-22 win for the Red Wolves on Saturday.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up North Texas's No. 101-ranked offense (21 PPG) against a Red Wolves defense that ranks No. 70 at 28.6 PPG. The Mean Green passing attack has averaged 218.5 yards per game, more than the Red Wolves give up through the air (195.5 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Red Wolves feature the league's No. 100-rated road run defense, allowing 227 yards per game. North Texas, meanwhile, ranks No. 12 in rushing offense at home.
Arkansas State was a 50-27 winner in their most recent outing on the road against Louisiana-Lafayette. They covered the 3.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (77) made winners of OVER bettors. Louisiana-Lafayette didn’t make much of a game of it last time out, losing to the Red Wolves as Arkansas State blasted them 50-27 in Week 9 action.
North Texas lost its last outing, a 38-21 result against Middle Tennessee on October 27. North Texas failed to cover in that game as a 3.5-point underdog, while the 59 combined points took the game OVER the total. The Mean Green suffered a Week 9 loss against Middle Tennessee in their last game, falling 38-21 at Floyd Stadium.
Arkansas State Red Wolves Trends:
When playing in November are 5-5
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 9-1
North Texas Mean Green Trends:
When playing in November are 2-8
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 5-5
A few Red Wolves at Mean Green trends to consider:
Arkansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing North Texas
Arkansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Arkansas State's last 13 games on the road
Arkansas State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
North Texas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Texas's last 6 games when playing Arkansas State
North Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
North Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arkansas State
Arkansas State home to Louisiana-Monroe, Thursday, November 8
North Texas home to South Alabama, Saturday, November 10