Few teams have been more impressive than the Florida State Seminoles. Oddsmakers certainly have taken notice.
The Seminoles opened as 21-point favorites over an undefeated Miami Hurricanes team. Florida State has won three of the last four meetings straight-up, but only covered the spread once in that stretch.
But this is the best Seminoles team in a long time, led by sensational freshman QB Jameis Winston. Florida State has defeated teams by an average margin of 39.5 points per game, with only Boston College staying within 14 points of the Seminoles.
Miami owns an impressive win over Florida, but has struggled in its past two games in close wins over North Carolina and Wake Forest. The Hurricanes were 21-point underdogs to Florida State last season and covered in a 33-20 loss at home.
“Miami has been underdog of 20+ points only twice in 15 years, covered both times and they have dominated the spread battle with FSU to the tune of 7-1 ATS,” said Jack Randall.
An interesting totals trend sees the OVER prevailing at a 9-1-1 clip the past 11 games when Seminoles are favored by 20+ points.
The Seminoles sit at 7-0 (5-2 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Hurricanes are currently 7-0 (4-3 ATS). Looking to wager on the totals? Florida State is 7-0 OU, and Miami is 3-4 OU.
View Miami Hurricanes vs Florida State Seminoles Odds and Stats.
The visitors opened as 21-point underdogs in this one at Sportsbook and most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark. The total was 61 midweek over at Sportsbook.
It's a betting matchup between the No. 2-rated Seminoles and the No. 18-ranked Hurricanes, according to the NCAAF Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 45-19 result in favor of the Seminoles.
ADVERTISEMENT:
Last time out for Miami, they were a 24-21 Sportsbook as they battled Wake Forest at home. Miami failed to cover in the match as a 24-point favorite, while 45 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. In their last gridiron battle, Rashad Greene did much of the damage, producing 137 receiving yards as Florida State beat the Wolfpack 49-17 at Doak Campbell Stadium.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Florida State's No. 3-ranked offense, averaging 52.57 PPG, against a Hurricanes defense that ranks No. 11 this week at 17.71 PPG. The Seminoles aerial game is averaging 341.43 yards per game, more than the Hurricanes secondary allows through the air, 200.57 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Hurricanes own the league's No. 10-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 102 yards per game when on the road. Florida State, on the other hand, rates No. 19 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Hurricanes at Seminoles trends to consider:
Miami is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Florida State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida State's last 5 games
Florida State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Next up:
Miami at Virginia Tech, Saturday, November 9th
Florida State at Wake Forest, Saturday, November 9th
