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Tar Heels home to Cavaliers in NCAAF betting action

Virginia CavaliersNorth Carolina Tar Heels
Sep 17, 3:30 PM | Grass of Kenan Stadium

Virginia Cavaliers vs North Carolina Tar Heels Odds

2-0TEAM RECORD2-0

Week 3 action on Saturday will see the Tar Heels looking to boost their win total and cover the spread when the Cavaliers visit Kenan Stadium.

They will face the 2-0 Cavaliers, who own a 1-1 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the Tar Heels are 1-1 favoring the UNDER so far this season while the Cavaliers are 1-1 favoring the OVER.

View Virginia vs North Carolina Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: The Tar Heels are listed as 10.5-point favorites at sportsbooks, with the total listed at 999.

Power Rankings / Prediction: This game matches up the No. 55 (Tar Heels) and the No. 33 (Cavaliers) teams in the league, according to our current NCAAF Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 46-43 result in favor of the Cavaliers is predicted by handicapping models.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up North Carolina's #52-ranked offense (33 PPG) against a Cavaliers defense that ranks #37 at 17 PPG. The Tar Heels passing attack has averaged 275 yards per game, more than the Cavaliers give up through the air (146 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Cavaliers own the league's #35-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 148 yards per game when on the road. North Carolina, on the other hand, rates #62 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

In their last action, Virginia was a 34-31 winner on the road against Indiana. They failed to cover the 7.5–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (65) was profitable news for OVER bettors.

In their last action, North Carolina was a 24-22 winner at home against Rutgers. They failed to cover the 9.5–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (46) was profitable news for UNDER bettors.

Virginia Cavaliers Trends:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 1-9

North Carolina Tar Heels Trends:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 5-5

A few Cavaliers at Tar Heels trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia's last 6 games when playing North Carolina
Virginia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Virginia's last 5 games when playing on the road against North Carolina
Virginia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against North Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina's last 6 games when playing Virginia
North Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina's last 5 games when playing at home against Virginia
North Carolina is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

Next up:
Virginia home to Southern Miss, Saturday, September 24
North Carolina at Georgia Tech, Saturday, September 24