Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi Rebels Odds
The visiting Auburn Tigers hope to send their backers to the pay window on Saturday as they look to cover the spread at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium against the Ole Miss Rebels.
Auburn has won seven of eight meetings with their SEC foes, but have seen the line soar from -1 to -6 at most sportsbooks (including Sportsbook.ag).
The Tigers will look to vanquish their hosts on Saturday, as they are 1-4 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Rebels are 5-1 ATS. Auburn is 1-4 against the total, while Mississippi is 1-4 versus the number.
Betting Line: The Tigers were listed as 1-point underdogs on the opening NCAA football line at 5Dimes and most sportsbooks tracked by OddsShark, but bet up to -6 by Friday night. The total was bet down to 49 at .
Power Rankings / Prediction: The Rebels - Tigers odds would favor the Rebels if the lines were set according to power ranks. Mississippi is rated No. 79 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Tigers sit at No. 90. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 28-16 win for the Rebels.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Mississippi's No. 51-ranked offense (31.3 PPG) against a Tigers defense that ranks No. 49 at 23.6 PPG. The Rebels passing attack has averaged 226 yards per game, more than the Tigers give up through the air (217.2 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Tigers feature the league's No. 64-rated road run defense, allowing 166 yards per game. Mississippi, meanwhile, ranks No. 29 in rushing offense at home.
Auburn was a 24-7 loser in their most recent outing at home against Arkansas. They failed to cover the 7.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (31) made winners of UNDER bettors. Last time out, Auburn could not slow down $WinningWR, who managed 118 receiving yards in the Razorbacks 24-7 victory over the Tigers Saturday.
Last time out for Mississippi, they were a 30-27 loser as they battled Texas A&M at home. Mississippi covered in the match as a 12.5-point underdog, while 57 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Bo Wallace's 305-yard performance through the air wasn't enough last time out, as Texas A&M earned a 30-27 win over Mississippi on Saturday at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.
Auburn Tigers Trends:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 3-7
Mississippi Rebels Trends:
When playing in October are 2-8
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 2-8
When playing within the conference are 0-10
A few Tigers at Rebels trends to consider:
Auburn is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Mississippi
Auburn is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Mississippi
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Auburn's last 6 games when playing on the road against Mississippi
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Auburn's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Mississippi's last 6 games when playing at home against Auburn
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi's last 6 games when playing Auburn
Mississippi is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Auburn
Auburn at Vanderbilt, Saturday, October 20
Mississippi at Arkansas, Saturday, October 27