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LSU vs Arkansas SEC Betting Preview

No. 1 LSU is one game away from locking up the SEC West, and that game comes this Friday against one of their most bitter rivals, the Arkansas Razorbacks.

Arkansas has been a consistent razor-sharp thorn in LSU’s side recently winning three of their last four games against LSU and going 4-0 ATS over that stretch. They are also the No. 3-rated team in the country and present a serious threat to LSU's BCS safety.

If Arkansas upsets LSU, it could create a three-way tie in the SEC West between Arkansas, LSU, and Alabama each at 11-1. Jordan Jefferson needed only seven passes and 88 yards in LSU’s 52-3 romp over Ole Miss.

Supporters of the Razorbacks have seen them go 10-1 and 7-4 ATS so far this season, while the Tigers are at 11-0 and 8-3 ATS. In totals betting, the Tigers are 5-5-1, while the Razorbacks are 7-3-1. [ Enjoy Rivalry Week action and pocket a Friday-only 15% unlimited bonus with any deposit at Bovada ]

View Arkansas vs LSU Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: The visitors opened as 14-point underdogs in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark. The total sat at 52 at most shops but UNDER bettors got an extra half point value at BetOnline as of Wednesday.

Power Rankings / Prediction: The game pits the Tigers, currently No. 4 in our OddsShark NCAAF Power Rankings, against the Razorbacks, who rate No. 50 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 55-45 victory for the Tigers.

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How They Match Up:
The game also pits LSU's No. 14-ranked offense, averaging 37.9 PPG, against a Razorbacks defense that ranks No. 30 this week at 21.1 PPG. The Tigers aerial game is averaging 167.6 yards per game, less than the Razorbacks secondary allows through the air, 196.1 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Razorbacks feature the league's No. 83-rated road run defense, allowing 190 yards per game. LSU, meanwhile, ranks No. 30 in rushing offense at home.

Arkansas was a 44-17 winner in their most recent outing at home against Mississippi State. They covered the 13–point spread as favorites, while the total score (61) made winners of OVER bettors.

In their last action, LSU was a 52-3 winner on the road against Mississippi. They covered the 31.5–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (55) was profitable news for OVER bettors.

Arkansas Razorbacks Trends:
When playing in November are 9-1
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing within the conference are 9-1

LSU Tigers Trends:
When playing in November are 8-2
When playing on grass are 10-0
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing within the conference are 9-1

A few Razorbacks at Tigers trends to consider:
Arkansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas's last 5 games when playing LSU
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas's last 5 games when playing on the road against LSU
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LSU is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Arkansas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LSU's last 5 games when playing Arkansas

 

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