SEC Title Odds: Auburn vs Missouri

Two teams very much alive in the national championship game race collide in the SEC Championship Game, when favored Auburn takes on Missouri on Saturday in the Georgia Dome.

Auburn is coming off a remarkable win over Alabama and has won and covered in eight straight games. Gus Malzahn’s Tigers are 11-1 straight-up and 9-2 against the spread and they opened as small chalk at 5Dimes.

Missouri reached the SEC Championship Game in only its second season in the conference. Gary Pinkel’s Tigers are 11-1 straight-up and against the spread. They knocked off Texas A&M to clinch the SEC East title.

Auburn leads the SEC and is fifth in the nation in rushing offense. Missouri is second in the SEC and 14th in the nation in rushing defense. Auburn has won 11 straight as favorites and covered the spread eight times in that span.

This season the Tigers are 10-1 overall and 9-2 ATS against the number, while the Tigers are 11-1 and 11-1 ATS. As for the totals, Auburn is 6-5 on the OU, and Missouri is 6-6.

View Missouri Tigers vs Auburn Tigers Odds and Stats.

Those siding with the visitors in this one saw Auburn listed as 2-point favorites earlier this week at 5Dimes. Meanwhile, the over under line was 62 in early SEC title game betting at BetOnline.

This game matches up the No. 22 (Tigers) and the No. 14 (Tigers) teams in the league, according to our current NCAAF Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 32-29 upset result in favor of the Missouri Tigers is predicted by handicapping models.

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Recent SEC championship game history

Year Date 'Away'   'Home'   Winner Home line ATS Total OU
1996 07/12/1996 Alabama 30 Florida 45 FLA -14 FLA 49.5 O
1997 06/12/1997 Tennessee 30 Auburn 29 TENN 7.5 AUBRN 58 O
1998 05/12/1998 Mississippi State 14 Tennessee 24 TENN -15 MIS.ST 48 U
1999 04/12/1999 Florida 7 Alabama 34 ALAB 7.5 ALAB 51 U
2000 02/12/2000 Auburn 6 Florida 28 FLA -9.5 FLA 52.5 U
2001 08/12/2001 Tennessee 20 LSU 31 LSU -7 LSU 54 U
2002 07/12/2002 Arkansas 3 Georgia 30 GEORGI -9 GEORGI 47 U
2003 06/12/2003 Georgia 13 LSU 34 LSU -3 LSU 42 O
2004 04/12/2004 Tennessee 28 Auburn 38 AUBRN -14.5 TENN 47 O
2005 03/12/2005 LSU 14 Georgia 34 GEORGI 2 GEORGI 41.5 O
2006 02/12/2006 Arkansas 28 Florida 38 FLA -3 FLA 45 O
2007 01/12/2007 Tennessee 14 LSU 21 LSU -7 Push 58.5 U
2008 06/12/2008 Alabama 20 Florida 31 FLA -10 FLA 54 U
2009 05/12/2009 Florida 13 Alabama 32 ALAB 5 ALAB 41 O
2010 04/12/2010 Auburn 56 South Carolina 17 AUBRN 3.5 AUBRN 61.5 O
2011 03/12/2011 Georgia 10 LSU 42 LSU -12 LSU 46.5 O
2012 01/12/2012 Alabama 32 Georgia 28 ALAB 9 GEORGI 48.5 O

Missouri was a 28-21 winner in its last match at home against Texas A&M. They covered the 3.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 49 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. In their last game, Auburn got a 164-yard performance from Tre Mason as a key part of its 34-28 win over Alabama.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Auburn's No. 17-ranked offense (38.58 PPG) against a Tigers defense that ranks No. 14 at 19.42 PPG. The Tigers passing attack has averaged 172.75 yards per game, less than the Tigers give up through the air (265.5 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Tigers own the league's No. 24-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 130.4 yards per game when on the road. Auburn, on the other hand, rates No. 5 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

A few Tigers at Tigers trends to consider:
Missouri is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games
Missouri is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Missouri's last 5 games
Auburn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Auburn's last 7 games

 

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