Trojans Ducks Betting Preview: Pac 12
In the game everybody has been waiting for out in the Pac-12, the 8-0 Oregon Ducks fly South to take on the 6-2 USC Trojans Saturday night (7 pm ET, Fox).
Oregon, which leads the Pac-12 North Division and sits at No. 4 in the BCS standings, was an early seven-point road favorite over Southern Cal, which just lost at Arizona but still leads the South Division.
The last two meetings had totals in excess of 70 points and each game still went OVER the total - the best OVER number was at 5Dimes on Friday.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The Trojans sit at No. 39 in the current NCAAF Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Ducks are at No. 47 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Ducks will win this game 66-47.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Southern Cal's No. 29-ranked offense (35 PPG) against a Ducks defense that ranks No. 24 at 19.4 PPG. The Trojans passing attack has averaged 291.2 yards per game, more than the Ducks give up through the air (213.6 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Ducks own the league's No. 11-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 92 yards per game when on the road. Southern Cal, on the other hand, rates No. 74 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Last time out for Oregon, they were a 70-14 winner as they battled Colorado at home. Oregon covered in the match as a 47-point favorite, while 84 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Colorado was unable to contain Kenjon Barner in its last action Saturday and the result was a 70-14 Week 9 loss against the Ducks.
Southern Cal was a 39-36 loser in its last match on the road against Arizona. They failed to cover the 5-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 75 sent OVER bettors to the payout window. In their last game, Southern Cal's aerial attack generated 493 yards but it was the Wildcats coming away with a 39-36 victory over Southern Cal at Arizona Stadium.
Oregon Ducks Trends:
When playing in November are 8-2
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 10-0
When playing within the conference are 9-1
Southern Cal Trojans Trends:
When playing in November are 7-3
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 8-2
A few Ducks at Trojans trends to consider:
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon's last 5 games when playing on the road against Southern Cal
Oregon is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Southern Cal
Southern Cal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Cal's last 5 games at home
Southern Cal is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Cal's last 5 games when playing at home against Oregon
Oregon at California, Saturday, November 10
Southern Cal home to Arizona State, Saturday, November 10