USC vs Oregon State: Pac 12 Betting
Southern Cal has won two of three since the firing of Lane Kiffin, including an impressive 19-3 win over Utah last week. But the Trojans find themselves in the underdog role, heading to Oregon State on Friday.
The host Beavers opened as 2-point favorites, but the line quickly grew to 4.5. And if history repeats itself, this will be an Oregon State cover (they are 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings).
Oregon State has covered the spread in seven of the last 10 meetings with USC, including five of the last six. The Beavers lost to Stanford, 20-12, last week. Oregon State leads the nation passing yards per game.
USC’s offense has struggled all season and will be hard pressed to keep up with the Beavers’ attack. The Trojans likely will need to rely on a defense that is allowing 19.3 points per game.
The Beavers sit at 6-2 (4-4 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Trojans are currently 5-3 (3-5 ATS). Looking to wager on the totals? Oregon State is 5-3 OU, and Southern Cal is 3-5 OU.
Bettors going with the Beavers in this game found them listed as 2-point favorites on the betting line at Bovada earlier in the week, but it was up to -3.5 as of Friday morning. The total had moved to 52.5 at GTbets.eu.
The game pits the Beavers, currently No. 12 in our OddsShark NCAAF Power Rankings, against the Trojans, who rate No. 58 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 38-31 victory for the Beavers.
Southern Cal was a 19-3 winner in their most recent outing at home against Utah. They covered the 5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (22) made winners of UNDER bettors. The Beavers suffered a Week 9 loss against Stanford in their last game, falling 20-12 at Reser Stadium.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Oregon State's No. 15-ranked offense (40.12 PPG) against a Trojans defense that ranks No. 16 at 19.25 PPG. The Beavers passing attack has averaged 420.75 yards per game, more than the Trojans give up through the air (211.88 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Trojans feature the league's No. 33-rated road run defense, allowing 137.67 yards per game. Oregon State, meanwhile, ranks No. 120 in rushing offense at home.
A few Trojans at Beavers trends to consider:
Southern Cal is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Southern Cal is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Southern Cal's last 10 games
Southern Cal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Oregon State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Oregon State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon State's last 6 games
Oregon State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Southern Cal at California, Saturday, November 9th
Oregon State at Arizona State, Saturday, November 16th