Trojans visit Bulldogs in Week 4 battle
Troy Trojans vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Odds
Mississippi State will look to improve on its 1-2 record this week when they host Troy in Week 4 action at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field on Saturday.
The Bulldogs are 1-2 so far on the season, and 2-1 ATS vs. the number. The Trojans, meanwhile, are 2-1 and 1-2 ATS. Over under bettors have seen Mississippi State go 1-2 and the Trojans go 3-0 on the totals.
Betting Line: Oddsmakers at 5Dimes opened the Bulldogs as 13-point favorites in the matchup, while the betting total had not been set at press time (check the college football odds link for the latest on the over under)..
Power Rankings / Prediction: The Power Rankings at OddsShark have the No. 94-rated Trojans taking on the No. 3-rated Bulldogs in this contest. Handicapping models indicate a 48-35 win for the Trojans on Saturday.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Mississippi State's No. 84-ranked offense (24.7 PPG) against a Trojans defense that ranks No. 65 at 25 PPG. The Bulldogs passing attack has averaged 238 yards per game, less than the Trojans give up through the air (261 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Trojans own the league's No. 75-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 228 yards per game when on the road. Mississippi State, on the other hand, rates No. 22 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Troy was a 41-34 loser in their most recent outing on the road against Arkansas State. They failed to cover the 6.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (75) made winners of OVER bettors. In Troy's last outing, Corey Robinson threw for 371 yards in a losing cause against the Red Wolves, 41-34 at Liberty Bank Stadium.
Mississippi State lost its last outing, a 24-20 result against Auburn on September 14. Mississippi State covered in that game as a 6.5-point underdog, while the 44 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Dak Prescott went over the 100-yard mark (133) in his team's latest effort, but Auburn still defeated Mississippi State by a score of 24-20.
Troy Trojans Trends:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the conference are 5-5
Mississippi State Bulldogs Trends:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 8-2
A few Trojans at Bulldogs trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Troy's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Troy's last 9 games on the road
Troy is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games
Troy is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Mississippi State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
Mississippi State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Mississippi State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Troy at Duke, Saturday, September 28
Mississippi State home to LSU, Saturday, October 5