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Trojans visit Red Wolves in Week 14 NCAAF clash

Troy TrojansArkansas State Red Wolves
Dec 3, 4:30 PM | Turf of ASU Stadium

Troy Trojans vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Odds

3-8TEAM RECORD9-2

Week 14 action on Saturday will see the Red Wolves looking to boost their win total and cover the spread when the Trojans visit ASU Stadium.

They battle the Trojans, currently with a 3-8 mark (3-8 ATS). The over under records, important for totals bettors, are 3-8 for the Red Wolves and 5-6 for the Trojans.

View Troy vs Arkansas State Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: If you're going with the Red Wolves in this one, they're listed as 18-point favorites on the betting line for the contest.

Power Rankings / Prediction: The Red Wolves sit at No. 12 in the current NCAAF Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Trojans are at No. 119 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Red Wolves will win this game 40-18.

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How They Match Up:
The game also pits Arkansas State's No. 31-ranked offense, averaging 32.5 PPG, against a Trojans defense that ranks No. 98 this week at 32.6 PPG. The Red Wolves aerial game is averaging 281.6 yards per game, more than the Trojans secondary allows through the air, 252.8 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Trojans own the league's No. 111-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 238.2 yards per game when on the road. Arkansas State, on the other hand, rates No. 16 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Last time out for Troy, they were a 41-18 loser as they battled Western Kentucky on the road. Troy failed to cover in the match as a 6-point underdog, while 59 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

Arkansas State won its last outing, a 45-19 result against Middle Tennessee on November 19. Arkansas State covered in that game as a 13.5-point favorite, while the 64 combined points took the game OVER the total.

Troy Trojans Trends:
When playing in December are 6-3
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 4-6

Arkansas State Red Wolves Trends:
When playing in December are 1-2
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 8-2

A few Trojans at Red Wolves trends to consider:
Troy is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arkansas State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Troy's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Troy's last 7 games when playing Arkansas State
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Troy's last 24 games on the road
Arkansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Arkansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Arkansas State's last 13 games

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