Menu
Matchups

UCLA vs Oregon Odds Preview

It should come as no surprise that the Oregon Ducks are 25-point home favorites in the NCAA Thursday nighter against UCLA this week. After all, they’re No. 1 in the AP poll for the first time in their history and in hot pursuit of Oklahoma for first in the BCS ranks.

The Ducks are fresh off a bye week and their offense is primed to go wild against the Bruins. Oregon leads the nation with 54.3 points and 567 yards per game. It’s no wonder the typical over/under is around 61.5 points for {URL=/ncaaf/ucla-oregon-odds-october-21-2010}this matchup{/URL} at most online sportsbooks such as Bovada.

The starring role in Oregon’s high-octane attack belongs to LaMichael James. He has 848 rushing yards and nine touchdowns, and he leads the nation with 169.5 rushing yards per game. James, a sophomore, gashed UCLA for 152 yards on 20 carries when he faced the Bruins last year, helping Oregon beat them for the seventh time in its last nine tries.

ADVERTISEMENT: College football bettors can look at the Oregon UCLA odds two ways - 25 points is easy for the Ducks or the Bruins can stay within four TDs - whatever they choose, odds and bonuses are available at Bovada to help them along.

The bye week came at just the right moment for Oregon. Quarterback Darron Thomas hurt his throwing shoulder during the Ducks’ 43-23 win over Washington State on October 9 but says he’s ready to go this week. He has 14 touchdown passes this season. {URL=/ncaaf/ucla-oregon-odds-october-21-2010}See the matchup report and latest Ducks Bruins odds here. {/URL}

Looking at all the team stats entering this matchup, it almost seems like Oregon should be favored by more than 25 points. The Ducks allow 16.3 points per game, good for second best in the Pac-10. They’re also second in the country with 12 interceptions and have played one fewer game than the leader, Alabama.
 
Oregon’s ballhawk pass defense matches up against a woeful UCLA attack that ranks last in the Pac-10 in passing yards (95.5 yards per game) and total offense (318.5 yards per game). The Bruins’ lone bright spot is sophomore running back Johnathan Franklin, who ranks second to James in the Pac-10 with 113.2 rushing yards per game.

But he won’t get a ton of carries if UCLA falls behind early and has to throw. Also, Franklin ran for just 32 yards on nine carries in last year’s loss to Oregon.

The only numbers that favor UCLA are some of the betting spread stats. The underdog is 6-2 against the spread in the last eight meetings between these two teams. The Bruins are also 8-2 ATS over their last 10 games as an underdog of 10.5 or more points.

Then again, mighty Oregon is 8-2 ATS over its last 10 at home. With the Ducks better than they’ve ever been, it’s possible their powerhouse offense will help them overcome any previous betting trends pointing UCLA’s way. A win this week could cement their status as the top BCS contender.

ADVERTISEMENT: Enjoy the occasional horse bet? Bet against Zenyatta – and if she wins the Breeders’ Cup Classic, we’ll refund your bet up to $20!