The USC Trojans will be aiming to bounce back from a devastating 49-14 loss at Notre Dame as 3.5-point underdogs when they visit the Arizona State Sun Devils on Saturday night in a Pac-12 matchup at Sun Devil Stadium. The loss extends the Trojans’ ATS losing streak to six, while ASU remains unbeaten ATS in five following last week’s 30-10 upset of Utah as a 10-point road underdog.
The Trojans continued to be a betting disappointment with last week’s loss that drops them to 1-8 ATS in their past nine. That includes a 0-4 ATS run on the road, where they are also just 1-3 SU and ATS in their past four while favored by three or fewer points. However, USC has proven reliable in dates with Pac-12 rivals, going 11-1 SU in its past 12.
The Sun Devils have settled into the role of spoiler with upset victories in three of their past four, including recent outright wins over Oregon and Washington, both as double-digit home underdogs. ASU has also surrendered just 8.5 points per game over its past two, fueling a 6-1 run for the UNDER in totals betting this season.
USC has regularly put up big numbers against the Sun Devils during a 14-3 SU run, scoring 41 or more in three of their past four meetings. However, the Trojans are just 3-3 SU in their past six against ASU, while the Sun Devils have covered in five of eight, including three of four home dates.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
Those siding with the visitors in this one saw the USC Trojans listed as 4-point favorites earlier this week at Sportsbook. Meanwhile, the OVER/UNDER betting line was unavailable earlier in the week, but was expected to be posted shortly at Sportsbook.
Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and analytics picked a 40-23 win for the Trojans. That value could change during the week, if injuries or other factors alter the numbers, so check the college football picks page before game time. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.
USC Trojans vs Arizona State Sun Devils Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
This season the Arizona State Sun Devils are 4-3 overall and 4-2-1 against the spread, while the Trojans are 6-2 and 1-7 ATS. As for the totals, Arizona State is 1-6 on the OU, and USC is 4-4 Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Arizona State vs USC injuries news.
The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Arizona State Sun Devils at No. 85 and the USC Trojans at No. 26 heading into this contest.
Statistical Matchup
Offensively, the game matches up the Arizona State Sun Devils' No. 61-ranked offense (29.43 PPG) against a USC Trojans defense that ranks No. 71 at 26.88 PPG. The Sun Devils passing attack has averaged 267.43 yards per game, more than the Trojans give up through the air (223.88 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Trojans own the league's No. 90-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 204 yards per game when on the road. Arizona State, on the other hand, rates No. 126 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
Deontay Burnett hauled in 8 passes for 113 yards against the Notre Dame defense in the team's last game, but the result was a 49-14 loss against the Fighting Irish on Saturday.
Arizona State cruised to victory in its last outing, as they ran up a 30-10 score against Utah at Rice-Eccles Stadium.
Next Betting Matchups
USC home to Arizona, Saturday, November 4
Arizona State home to Colorado, Saturday, November 4