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USF Bulls Face the SMU Mustangs: Week 12 NCAA Football Odds and Pick

Week 12 action on Saturday will see the SMU Mustangs looking to boost their win total and cover the spread when the USF Bulls visit Gerald J. Ford Stadium.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Several shops tracked by Odds Shark (including Bovada) set the point spread at 12.5 for the SMU Mustangs . NCAA football bettors had to wait for the opening over under value, which was not available at press time (check the live lines pages here for the latest totals updates).

Handicapping prediction models run by the computers at Odds Shark pick a 43-28 result in favor of the Bulls. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

USF Bulls vs SMU Mustangs Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

SMU bring a 5-5 record (7-3 ATS) to the Week 12 betting matchup against the 8-2 USF Bulls, who are 7-3 ATS against the spread. Over under betting has seen SMU go 4-6 so far and the Bulls go 8-2. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and SMU vs USF injuries news.

The game pits the SMU Mustangs, currently No. 118 in our Odds Shark NCAA Football Power Rankings, against the USF Bulls, who rate No. 32 in the latest survey.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits SMU's No. 75-ranked offense, averaging 27.4 PPG, against a USF defense that ranks No. 88 this week at 31.4 PPG. The SMU aerial game is averaging 241.4 yards per game, less than the USF Bulls secondary allows through the air, 256.1 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the USF Bulls own the league's No. 98-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 231.25 yards per game when on the road. SMU, on the other hand, rates No. 94 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Quinton Flowers tore up the turf for 210 rushing yards in the latest Bulls game, a 49-42 win over the Tigers at Liberty Bowl.

Last time we saw the Pirates, they had no answer for Ke'Mon Freeman as the Mustangs rolled to a 55-31 victory at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • South Florida is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games
  • South Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of South Florida's last 7 games
  • South Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Southern Methodist is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Southern Methodist is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games
  • Southern Methodist is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

USF home to UCF, Saturday, November 26th
SMU home to Navy, Saturday, November 26th

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