Utes visit Ducks in Week 12 battle
|Utah Utes||Oregon Ducks|
|4-5||November 16, 2013, 04:00 | Autzen Stadium||8-1|
The deflated Oregon Ducks return home looking to rebound from a disappointing loss at Stanford against upstart Utah. And they might have to do it without quarterback Marcus Mariota.
Mariota injured his left knee against Stanford, but the severity of it was not known at the beginning of the week. His status kept the game off the board early in the week.
The loss to Stanford crushed Oregon’s national championship hopes. How will the Ducks respond?
Utah also is coming off a tough loss. The Utes couldn’t hold a fourth-quarter lead against Arizona State.
Utah and Oregon last played in 2009, with Oregon winning 31-24. Oregon is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games, while Utah is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road. The Utes are 6-2 ATS since 2000 as double-digit road dog (biggest in 20 seasons).
The game pits the Ducks, currently No. 4 in our OddsShark NCAAF Power Rankings, against the Utes, who rate No. 71 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 60-33 victory for the Ducks.
Last time out for Utah, they were a 20-19 loser as they battled Arizona State at home. Utah covered in the match as a 7.5-point underdog, while 39 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. In their last game, the Ducks were Week 11 losers coming out on the wrong end of 26-20 score against Stanford.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Oregon's No. 3-ranked offense (51.67 PPG) against a Utes defense that ranks No. 54 at 25.11 PPG. The Ducks passing attack has averaged 295 yards per game, more than the Utes give up through the air (239.89 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Utes feature the league's No. 59-rated road run defense, allowing 171 yards per game. Oregon, meanwhile, ranks No. 2 in rushing offense at home.
A few Utes at Ducks trends to consider:
Utah is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games
Utah is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Utah is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Oregon is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games
Oregon is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon's last 6 games
Oregon is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Utah at Washington State, Saturday, November 23rd
Oregon at Arizona, Saturday, November 23rd