Tennessee Volunteers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Odds
The Mississippi State Bulldogs host Tennessee on Saturday, looking to build on their 3-2 ATS mark against the 3-2 Volunteers in NCAAF action at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field.
The Volunteers will try to spoil to the party on Saturday; they are 2-3 ATS against the number this season, while the Bulldogs are 3-2 ATS. Tennessee is 4-0 on the totals; Mississippi State is 0-4.
Betting Line: The visitors opened as 2.5-point underdogs in this one at 5Dimes and most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark. No total had been posted as of press time check the live lines pages in the coming days to see where the number opened.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Bulldogs rated this week at No. 27 and the Volunteers sitting at No. 51. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 50-39 result in favor of the Bulldogs this week.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Mississippi State's No. 36-ranked offense (34.2 PPG) against a Volunteers defense that ranks No. 86 at 29.6 PPG. The Bulldogs passing attack has averaged 225.6 yards per game, less than the Volunteers give up through the air (239.6 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Volunteers feature the league's No. 82-rated road run defense, allowing 196.5 yards per game. Mississippi State, meanwhile, ranks No. 69 in rushing offense at home.
Tennessee was a 51-44 loser in their most recent outing on the road against Georgia. They covered the 14-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (95) made winners of OVER bettors. Rajion Neal went over the 100-yard mark (104) in his team's latest effort, but Georgia still defeated Tennessee by a score of 51-44.
Mississippi State won its last outing, a 27-14 result against Kentucky on October 6. Mississippi State covered in that game as a 10-point favorite, while the 41 combined points took the game UNDER the total. In their last game, Mississippi State got a 110-yard performance from LaDarius Perkins as a key part of its 27-14 win over Kentucky.
Tennessee Volunteers Trends:
When playing in October are 2-8
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 1-9
Mississippi State Bulldogs Trends:
When playing in October are 8-2
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 4-6
A few Volunteers at Bulldogs trends to consider:
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi State
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Tennessee's last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing Mississippi State
Tennessee is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Mississippi State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Mississippi State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 6 games when playing Tennessee
Mississippi State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee
Tennessee home to Alabama, Saturday, October 20
Mississippi State home to Middle Tennessee, Saturday, October 20