Warriors open as underdog vs Lobos
New Mexico Lobos vs Hawaii Warriors Odds
Hawaii will look to improve on its 1-4 record this week when they host New Mexico in Week 7 action at Aloha Stadium on Saturday.
The Warriors currently sports a record of 1-4, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 2-3 ATS. The Lobos are 3-3 and 3-2 ATS. Betting totals have seen the Warriors post a 2-2 over under record this season, while the Lobos have gone 1-4 against the number.
Betting Line: Those siding with the visitors in this one saw the Lobos listed as 3-point favorites earlier this week at Bovada. Meanwhile, the over under line was unavaiilable earlier in the week.
Power Rankings / Prediction: This game matches up the No. 94 (Warriors) and the No. 80 (Lobos) teams in the league, according to our current NCAAF Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 30-7 result in favor of the Lobos is predicted by handicapping models.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Hawaii's No. 109-ranked offense, averaging 20.4 PPG, against a Lobos defense that ranks No. 85 this week at 29.2 PPG. The Warriors aerial game is averaging 162.4 yards per game, less than the Lobos secondary allows through the air, 281.2 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Lobos feature the league's No. 77-rated road run defense, allowing 183 yards per game. Hawaii, meanwhile, ranks No. 57 in rushing offense at home.
Last time out for New Mexico, they were a 35-14 winner as they battled Texas State at home. New Mexico covered in the match as a 3-point favorite, while 49 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. In their last game, New Mexico got a 191-yard performance from Kasey Carrier as a key part of its 35-14 win over Texas State.
In their last action, Hawaii was a 52-14 loser on the road against San Diego State. They failed to cover the 20-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (66) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Hawaii was hammered in its last outing, as San Diego State ran up a 52-14 score against them at Qualcomm Stadium.
New Mexico Lobos Trends:
When playing in October are 1-9
When playing on turf are 0-10
After outgaining opponent are 1-9
When playing within the conference are 1-9
Hawaii Warriors Trends:
When playing in October are 8-2
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 4-6
A few Lobos at Warriors trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Mexico's last 5 games
New Mexico is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games
New Mexico is 1-24 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Hawaii is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
Hawaii is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Hawaii is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Hawaii is 2-10-1 ATS in its last 13 games
New Mexico at Air Force, Saturday, October 20
Hawaii at Colorado State, Saturday, October 27