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Penn State vs Ohio State Preview

The Big Ten title will come into focus today as Penn State battles Ohio State as the Nittany Lion faithful continue to be tested by scandal this week.

The point spread has held steady most of the week as the host Buckeyes are favored by 6.5 points. The total was set low at 37.5.

Backers of the Buckeyes have seen them go 6-4 and 5-5 ATS so far this season, while the Nittany Lions are at 8-2 and 2-7-1 ATS. In totals betting, the Nittany Lions are 1-7-1, while the Buckeyes are 5-5.

View Penn State vs Ohio State Odds and Stats.

Ohio State vs Penn State Betting Line: Sportsbooks have set the Buckeyes as 7-point favorites on the opening line for this contest. The best PSU line was +7 at Bovada while the best OSU value was at 5Dimes.

Power Rankings / Prediction: This game matches up the No. 40 (Buckeyes) and the No. 17 (Nittany Lions) teams in the league, according to our current NCAAF Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 28-26 result in favor of the Nittany Lions is predicted by handicapping models.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Ohio State's No. 74-ranked offense (25.3 PPG) against a Nittany Lions defense that ranks No. 3 at 12.9 PPG. The Buckeyes passing attack has averaged 117.1 yards per game, less than the Nittany Lions give up through the air (167.7 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Nittany Lions feature the league's No. 5-rated road run defense, allowing 80 yards per game. Ohio State, meanwhile, ranks No. 33 in rushing offense at home.

Penn State was a 17-14 loser in their most recent outing at home against Nebraska. They earned a push of the 3–point spread as underdogs, while the total score (31) made winners of UNDER bettors.

Ohio State was a 26-23 loser in its last match on the road against Purdue. They failed to cover the 7.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score of 49 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

Penn State Nittany Lions Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on turf are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 7-3

Ohio State Buckeyes Trends:
When playing in November are 9-1
When playing on turf are 8-2
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 7-3

 

A few Nittany Lions at Buckeyes trends to consider:
Penn State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Penn State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Ohio State
Penn State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Penn State's last 9 games
Ohio State is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games at home
Ohio State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Penn State
Ohio State is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio State's last 5 games

Next up:
Penn State at Wisconsin, Saturday, November 26
Ohio State at Michigan, Saturday, November 26

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