Week 6 odds - Midshipmen vs. Falcons
Navy Midshipmen vs Air Force Falcons Odds
In the first leg of the Commander-in-Chief's Trophy round-robin 2-2 Air Force hosts 1-3 Navy Saturday morning out in Colorado Springs (11:30 am ET, CBS).
The Falcons, who have won the last two games in the series with the Middies, including a 35-34 thriller last year, were early 10-point favorites for Saturday's game.
Betting Line: The Falcons were listed as 8.5-point favorites at sportsbooks such as Bovada on the college football lines.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The Power Rankings at OddsShark have the No. 76-rated Midshipmen taking on the No. 111-rated Falcons in this contest. Handicapping models indicate a 36-16 win for the Falcons on Saturday.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Air Force's No. 28-ranked offense, averaging 37.8 PPG, against a Midshipmen defense that ranks No. 62 this week at 24.8 PPG. The Falcons aerial game is averaging 104 yards per game, less than the Midshipmen secondary allows through the air, 210 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Midshipmen feature the league's No. 30-rated road run defense, allowing 110 yards per game. Air Force, meanwhile, ranks No. 1 in rushing offense at home.
Navy was a 12-0 loser in their most recent outing at home against San Jose State. They failed to cover the 1.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (12) made winners of UNDER bettors.
Air Force won its last outing, a 42-21 result against Colorado State on September 29. Air Force covered in that game as a 13.5-point favorite, while the 63 combined points took the game OVER the total. Cody Getz went over the 100-yard mark (222) in his team's latest effort as Air Force defeated Colorado State by a score of 42-21 on Saturday.
Navy Midshipmen Trends:
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing outside the conference are 3-7
Air Force Falcons Trends:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 7-3
A few Midshipmen at Falcons trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Navy's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Navy's last 5 games when playing on the road against Air Force
Navy is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Air Force
Navy is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Air Force
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Air Force's last 5 games when playing at home against Navy
Air Force is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Air Force's last 8 games when playing Navy
Air Force is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Navy at Central Michigan, Friday, October 12
Air Force at Wyoming, Saturday, October 13