Week 7 odds - Hawkeyes vs. Spartans
Iowa Hawkeyes vs Michigan State Spartans Odds
The Spartans will try to pay off for their supporters on Saturday when they play host to the Hawkeyes at Spartan Stadium in Week 7 action.
They will face the 3-2 Hawkeyes, who own a 1-3-1 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the Spartans are 1-4-1 favoring the UNDER so far this season while the Hawkeyes are 1-3 favoring the OVER.
Betting Line: Michigan State were sitting as 11.5-point favorites earlier in the week at Bovada. The total was to be set a bit later in the week for over under betting purposes.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The Spartans - Hawkeyes odds would favor the Spartans if the lines were set according to power ranks. Michigan State is rated No. 13 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Hawkeyes sit at No. 56. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 26-24 win for the Spartans.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Michigan State's No. 100-ranked offense (21.8 PPG) against a Hawkeyes defense that ranks No. 25 at 17.4 PPG. The Spartans passing attack has averaged 245.8 yards per game, more than the Hawkeyes give up through the air (204 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Hawkeyes own the league's No. 46-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 147 yards per game when on the road. Michigan State, on the other hand, rates No. 96 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
In their last action, Iowa was a 31-13 winner at home against Minnesota. They covered the 6-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (44) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. In their last game, Iowa got a 177-yard performance from Mark Weisman as a key part of its 31-13 win over Minnesota.
Michigan State was a 31-27 winner in their most recent outing on the road against Indiana. They failed to cover the 14.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (58) made winners of OVER bettors. Indiana was unable to contain Le'Veon Bell in its last action Saturday and the result was a 31-27 Week 6 loss against the Spartans.
Iowa Hawkeyes Trends:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing within the conference are 5-5
Michigan State Spartans Trends:
When playing in October are 8-2
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 7-3
A few Hawkeyes at Spartans trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa's last 6 games on the road
Iowa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Michigan State
Iowa is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Iowa is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Michigan State
Michigan State is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games at home
Michigan State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Iowa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State's last 5 games at home
Michigan State is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
Iowa home to Penn State, Saturday, October 20
Michigan State at Michigan, Saturday, October 20