In a huge game in the SEC's East Division the 7-0 Florida Gators, the No. 2 team in the latest BCS standings, meet the 6-1 Georgia Bulldogs at the Big Cocktail Party in Jacksonville Saturday afternoon (3:30 pm ET, CBS).
The Gators, who can secure a spot in the SEC championship game with a victory, were early 6.5-point favorites over the 'Dawgs, who at 4-1 in conference need a win to stay alive for the division title.
Betting Line: Sportsbooks such as TopBet had the Bulldogs pegged as 3.5-point underdogs in this matchup but it was bet all the way up to -7 by Friday at BetOnline. The total, meanwhile, was 45.5 this week at BetOnline.
Power Rankings / Prediction: This game matches up the No. 64 (Bulldogs) and the No. 5 (Gators) teams in the league, according to our current NCAAF Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 44-42 result in favor of the Gators is predicted by handicapping models.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Georgia's No. 17-ranked offense, averaging 39.6 PPG, against a Gators defense that ranks No. 4 this week at 12.1 PPG. The Bulldogs aerial game is averaging 281.7 yards per game, more than the Gators secondary allows through the air, 184.7 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Gators feature the league's No. 24-rated road run defense, allowing 114.3 yards per game. Georgia, meanwhile, ranks No. 9 in rushing offense at home.
In their last action, Florida was a 44-11 winner at home against South Carolina. They covered the 3.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (55) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Florida cruised to victory in its last outing, as they ran up a 44-11 score against South Carolina at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.
Georgia was a 29-24 winner in its last match on the road against Kentucky. They failed to cover the 26-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 53 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. Aaron Murray's 427-yard performance through the air was enough last time out, as Georgia earned a 29-24 win over Kentucky on Saturday at Commonwealth Stadium.
Florida Gators Trends:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on grass are 9-1
After being outgained are 6-4
When favored on the road are 9-1
Georgia Bulldogs Trends:
When playing in October are 8-2
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When an underdog at home are 1-9
A few Gators at Bulldogs trends to consider:
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing Georgia
Florida is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Georgia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida's last 9 games
Georgia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia's last 5 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Georgia's last 9 games
Georgia is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing Florida
Florida home to Missouri, Saturday, November 3
Georgia home to Mississippi, Saturday, November 3