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Wolf Pack vs. Falcons Betting Preview

Nevada Wolf PackAir Force Falcons
Oct 26, 8:00 PM | Turf of Falcon Stadium

Nevada Wolf Pack vs Air Force Falcons Odds

6-2TEAM RECORD4-3

Falcon Stadium will feature Falcons vs. Wolf Pack on Friday as both teams try to pay off for bettors in Week 9 action.

They bring a 4-3 record (2-5 ATS) to the Week 9 battle against the 6-2 Wolf Pack, who are 2-5-1 ATS against the spread. Over under bettors have seen Air Force go 2-4 so far and the Wolf Pack go 4-3.

View Nevada vs Air Force Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Oddsmakers at 5Dimes opened the Falcons as 2.5-point underdogs in the matchup, while the betting total was hovering around 65.5 as of mid-week. (check Sportsbook.ag for updates during the week and follow us on Twitter)

Power Rankings / Prediction: The Falcons sit at No. 115 in the current NCAAF Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Wolf Pack are at No. 55 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Wolf Pack will win this game 43-38.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Air Force's No. 43-ranked offense (32.6 PPG) against a Wolf Pack defense that ranks No. 84 at 29.9 PPG. The Falcons passing attack has averaged 110.9 yards per game, less than the Wolf Pack give up through the air (254.8 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Wolf Pack feature the league's No. 31-rated road run defense, allowing 129.5 yards per game. Air Force, meanwhile, ranks No. 2 in rushing offense at home.

Nevada lost its last outing, a 39-38 result against San Diego State on October 20. Nevada failed to cover in that game as a 6.5-point favorite, while the 77 combined points took the game OVER the total. Cody Fajardo led the way last time out for the Wolf Pack, connecting for 304 passing yards, but failing to earn the victory in a 39-38 loss to the Wolf Pack at Mackay Stadium.

Air Force was a 28-23 winner in their most recent outing at home against New Mexico. They failed to cover the 10.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (51) made winners of UNDER bettors. In their last game, the Falcons were Week 8 winners, coming out on top of the Lobos by a score of 28-23.

Nevada Wolf Pack Trends:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 7-3

Air Force Falcons Trends:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on turf are 6-4
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 6-4

A few Wolf Pack at Falcons trends to consider:
Nevada is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Nevada is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nevada's last 6 games on the road
Nevada is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Air Force is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Air Force's last 6 games
Air Force is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Air Force is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

Next up:
Nevada home to Fresno State, Saturday, November 10
Air Force at Army, Saturday, November 3