Indiana Hoosiers vs Northwestern Wildcats Odds
The Hoosiers will be looking to pick up a win and cover the spread when they take on the Wildcats in Northwestern at Ryan Field on Saturday in Week 5 action.
The Hoosiers will try to spoil to the party on Saturday; they are 1-2 ATS against the number this season, while the Wildcats are 4-0 ATS. Indiana is 2-0 on the totals; Northwestern is 1-2.
Betting Line: The Hoosiers were listed as 14.5-point underdogs on the opening NCAA football line at most sportsbooks tracked by OddsShark. No total was available early in the week.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The Wildcats - Hoosiers odds would favor the Hoosiers if the lines were set according to power ranks. Northwestern is rated No. 92 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Hoosiers sit at No. 32. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 41-40 win for the Hoosiers.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Northwestern's No. 51-ranked offense (31.2 PPG) against a Hoosiers defense that ranks No. 44 at 21.3 PPG. The Wildcats passing attack has averaged 186 yards per game, less than the Hoosiers give up through the air (210.3 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Hoosiers own the league's No. 16-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 78 yards per game when on the road. Northwestern, on the other hand, rates No. 23 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Indiana lost its last outing, a 41-39 result against Ball State on September 15. Indiana failed to cover in that game as a 2.5-point favorite, while the 80 combined points took the game OVER the total. Stephen Houston ran through the Ball State defense for 102 yards in Indiana's last game, but the Hoosiers still lost a 41-39 decision at Memorial Stadium.
Northwestern won its last outing, a 38-7 result against South Dakota on September 22. Since it involved a non-board school, there was no point spread or total on the game. South Dakota was unable to contain Venric Mark in its last action Saturday and the result was a 38-7 Week 4 loss against the Wildcats.
Indiana Hoosiers Trends:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on grass are 1-9
After outgaining opponent are 2-8
When playing within the conference are 1-9
Northwestern Wildcats Trends:
When playing in September are 9-1
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 3-7
A few Hoosiers at Wildcats trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Northwestern
Indiana is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Indiana is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
Northwestern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
Northwestern is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Indiana
Northwestern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Northwestern is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Indiana home to Michigan State, Saturday, October 6
Northwestern at Penn State, Saturday, October 6