Badgers favored over Golden Gophers
The battle for Paul Bunyan's ax has been a one-sided affair for a while, as Wisconsin has beaten Minnesota nine times in a row.
But the Gophers, 8-2 this season, are thinking it's about time they turn this rivalry around, starting Saturday when they host the Badgers in Minneapolis.
Minnesota is one of the most pleasant surprises in college football this year, playing through Coach Kill's health situation to win four Big Ten games in a row. At 4-2 in conference play the Gophers, believe it or not, still have an outside shot of winning the Legends Division.
Wisconsin, meanwhile, has won and covered five games in a row. The Badgers have been the best team in college football to bet on this year, going 9-0-1 ATS.
Minnesota ain't been too bad itself with the money, going 7-3 ATS.
In the early betting on this border rivalry Wisconsin was favored by 15 points over the Gophers.
The Badgers will look to vanquish their hosts on Saturday, as they are 9-1 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Golden Gophers are 7-3 ATS. Wisconsin is 3-7 against the total, while Minnesota is 6-4 versus the number.
Sportsbooks such as Bovada had set the Golden Gophers as 14.5-point underdogs on the opening line for this contest, but it has moved during the week.
It's a betting matchup between the No. 60-rated Golden Gophers and the No. 9-ranked Badgers, according to the NCAAF Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 47-31 result in favor of the Badgers.
In their last action, Wisconsin was a 51-3 winner at home against Indiana. They covered the 26.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (54) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. David Cobb went over the 100-yard mark (139) in his team's latest effort as Minnesota defeated Penn State by a score of 24-10 on Saturday.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Minnesota's No. 57-ranked offense (30.7 PPG) against a Badgers defense that ranks No. 5 at 14 PPG. The Golden Gophers passing attack has averaged 149.4 yards per game, less than the Badgers give up through the air (189 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Badgers feature the league's No. 21-rated road run defense, allowing 122.5 yards per game. Minnesota, meanwhile, ranks No. 40 in rushing offense at home.
A few Badgers at Golden Gophers trends to consider:
Wisconsin is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 6 games
Wisconsin is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games at home
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Wisconsin home to Penn State, Saturday, November 30th
Minnesota at Michigan State, Saturday, November 30th