Wolf Pack visit Bobcats in Week 5 battle
Nevada Wolf Pack vs Texas State Bobcats Odds
The Bobcats will try to pay off for their supporters on Saturday when they play host to the Wolf Pack at Bobcat Stadium in Week 5 action.
This season the Bobcats are 2-1 overall and 2-1 ATS against the number, while the Wolf Pack are 3-1 and 2-1-1 ATS. As for the totals, Texas State is 1-1 on the OU, and Nevada is 2-1.
Betting Line: Texas State opened as 21-point underdogs. The total was to be set a bit later in the week for over under betting purposes.
Power Rankings / Prediction: This game matches up the No. 52 (Bobcats) and the No. 77 (Wolf Pack) teams in the league, according to our current NCAAF Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 49-25 result in favor of the Wolf Pack is predicted by handicapping models.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Texas State's No. 72-ranked offense (27 PPG) against a Wolf Pack defense that ranks No. 83 at 28.5 PPG. The Bobcats passing attack has averaged 212.7 yards per game, less than the Wolf Pack give up through the air (301.2 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Wolf Pack own the league's No. 42-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 128.5 yards per game when on the road. Texas State, on the other hand, rates No. 92 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Last time out for Nevada, they were a 69-24 winner as they battled Hawaii on the road. Nevada covered in the match as a 7-point favorite, while 93 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Stefphon Jefferson ran through the Hawaii defense for 170 yards in Nevada's last game, handing the Warriors a 69-24 setback on Saturday at Aloha Stadium.
Texas State won its last outing, a 41-37 result against Stephen F. Austin on September 22. Since it involved a non-board school, there was no point spread or total on the game. Shaun Rutherford led his team to victory last time out, throwing for 301 yards Saturday as the Bobcats downed the Lumberjacks 41-37 at Bobcat Stadium.
Nevada Wolf Pack Trends:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 5-5
Texas State Bobcats Trends:
When playing in September are 2-8
When playing on turf are 1-9
After being outgained are 3-3
When playing outside the conference are 2-8
A few Wolf Pack at Bobcats trends to consider:
Nevada is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
Nevada is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nevada's last 6 games on the road
Texas State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Texas State is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games
Nevada home to Wyoming, Saturday, October 6
Texas State at New Mexico, Saturday, October 6