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NFL player props analysis

With a number of teams resting starters in meaningless games today finding player props will be a little harder than usual in Week 17 of the NFL season.

One game where that won’t be a problem is the Philadelphia Eagles at the Dallas Cowboys. Whoever wins that one will take the NFC East, so you can be assured both teams starters will play from the first kickoff to the final whistle.

The meat of the Eagles vs. Cowboys matchups is the quarterback battle between Donovan McNabb and Tony Romo. Whichever QB plays better today will likely lead his team to victory and the division title. If you can figure out exactly which QB that’s going to be you can make some extra scratch for the post season on props betting.

Over at Sportsbetting.com the first prop bet on the lost for the quarterbacks in this game is a versus prop for passing yards between McNabb and Romo. The oddsmakers at Sportsbetting.com have given Romo a 12.5-yards spread, but they’ve listed him as a +120 underdog. McNabb at +12.5 yards is listed at -150.

On the season Romo is averaging 278.1 yards per game, almost 22 yards more per game than McNabb’s 256.2 average. Also worth noting is that when Dallas and Philadelphia met up in Week 9 Romo threw for 307 yards, while McNabb put 227 passing yards on the board. If those stats were to repeat today Romo would payout as the underdog.

NFL player props – completions odds

Also on the QB prop list at Sportsbetting.com is a completions prop for both Romo and McNabb. Romo’s completions total has been set at 21.5 with the Over at +100 and the Under at -120. Not surprisingly Romo averages 20.2 completions per game this season. He also had 21 completions against the Eagles back in Week 9. But, he’s had trouble against the Eagles during his career and in seven games against Philly he averages a lame 15.7 completions per contest.

McNabb’s completions total has been set at 20.5 at Sportsbetting.com with the Over at +100 and the Under at -120. The Eagles pivot averages 19 completions per game on the season, but in Week 9 the Cowboys limited him to only 16. His career average against Dallas isn’t far off that mark at 17.6 per game.