NFL point spread not best bet

The NFL season kicks off tonight with a possible AFC title game preview and if you think betting UNDER on the Steelers has been a good idea in Week 1, think again.

In each of the past seven seasons, many bettors took the defensive-minded Steelers UNDER the total - seven times, they were disappointed.

So when the Tennessee Titans take on the defending Super Bowl champs, betting the point spread might not be the best wager you can make. Recall that it was the Titans who posted the best record in the league during the regular season. It was also the Titans who came out on top when they clashed with the Steelers in the regular season last year.

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With top seed in the post season on the line, the Steelers and Titans met up in Week 16 in Tennessee last season. The Steelers were a 3-point road favorite, but it was all Titans in a 31-14 Tennessee victory.

The Titans defense forced four turnovers in the win, as the Steelers committed five fumbles and Ben Roethlisberger tossed a pair of interceptions. Tennessee running backs Chris Johnson and LenDale White combined for 117 rushing yards and two touchdowns, while Kerry Collins completed 20-of-29 passes for 216 yards with a touchdown to Justin Gage.

Roethlisberger completed 26-of-40 passes for 331 yards with a pair of touchdowns and a pair on interceptions in the loss. The Steelers running game was totally shut down by the Tennessee defense and totaled only 71 yards, led by Willie Parker with 29 yards on 18 carries.

Despite Tennessee’s total domination in last year’s matchup the Steelers head into Thursday night’s rematch as a 6-point home favorite at Bovada

According to the trend you may want to take the Titans as the underdog. In their last five games against the Steelers Tennessee is 4-1 straight-up and 3-2 ATS.

On the injury report both teams have at least one red flag that bettors need to be aware of. Tennessee could be without newly acquired Nate Washington due to a hamstring injury. Washington was signed away from Pittsburgh in the offseason and was supposed to add some much needed speed to the Titans receiving corps.

The Steelers will be without starting linebacker Lawrence Timmons due to a high ankle sprain. Timmons is expected to be a big piece of the Steelers defense this season after he replaced Larry Foote in the starting lineup.

NFL Odds – AFC futures

With Tennessee having posted the best record in the NFL last and Pittsburgh being the reigning Super Bowl champs you would expect both of them to be among the favorites to win the AFC this season.

That would be only half right. Pittsburgh follows only New England on the latest AFC futures at Bovada at +400. Tennessee is an underdog to find success in the post season as a +1000 conference underdog.

Week 1 NFL over under trends

Tampa has played UNDER in 15 of past 18 Week 1s
San Diego has played UNDER 8 of past 10 Week 1 when a favorite.
New Orleans played UNDER 8 of past 10 Week 1s
St Louis has played 7 of 8 Week 1 games UNDER
Washington has played 8 of 9 Week 1 games UNDER
Baltimore has played 8 of 10 Week 1 games UNDER
Tennessee has played 5 of 6 Week 1 road games UNDER
Buffalo is 9-2 favoring UNDER past 11 opening-week games
Chicago has played 5 straight Week 1 UNDERs
Philly has played 5 of 6 Week 1 games UNDER