49ers vs. Falcons Betting: MNF Pick
The Atlanta Falcons abandoned their Super Bowl aspirations a long time ago.
The San Francisco 49ers are still focused on their post-season goals and hope to solidify themselves as a legit contender with a convincing win over the visiting Falcons on Monday night.
The 49ers have covered the spread in eight consecutive appearances on Monday Night Football.
San Francisco opened as 10-point favorites at Bovada, but the point spread already was pushing two touchdowns early in the week. The 49ers have won four straight games and can clinch a playoff spot with a win over the downtrodden turnovers.
The Falcons needed seven turnovers and had to survive a potential game-winning two-point conversion to beat backup quarterback Kirk Cousins and the Washington Redskins.
This season the 49ers are 10-4 overall and 9-4-1 ATS against the number, while the Falcons are 4-10 and 5-9 ATS. As for the totals, San Francisco is 6-8 on the OU, and Atlanta is 8-6.
Oddsmakers at Bovada had the 49ers as 10-point favorites in the game (check the latest, the number has grown steadily during the week), while the betting total was sitting at 45.
This game matches up the No. 2 (49ers) and the No. 27 (Falcons) teams in the league, according to our current NFL Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 29-16 result in favor of the 49ers is predicted by handicapping models.
Last time out for Atlanta, they were a 27-26 winner as they battled the Redskins at home. The Falcons failed to cover in the match as a 5.5-point favorite, while 53 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Last time out, San Francisco got 2 scoring strikes from Colin Kaepernick in a 33-14 win over Tampa Bay.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up San Francisco's No. 13-ranked offense (24.93 PPG) against a Falcons defense that ranks No. 27 at 27.71 PPG. The 49ers passing attack has averaged 179.07 yards per game, less than the Falcons give up through the air (254.86 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Falcons own the league's No. 30-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 141.86 yards per game when on the road. San Francisco, on the other hand, rates No. 14 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Falcons at 49ers trends to consider:
Atlanta is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games
Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Atlanta is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
San Francisco is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games
San Francisco is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Atlanta home to Carolina, Sunday, December 29th
San Francisco at Arizona, Sunday, December 29th