49ers Jets Week 4 Betting Preview
The New York Jets will have to take on the San Francisco 49ers this Sunday at MetLife Stadium without their best player, cornerback Darrelle Revis.
Revis tore his ACL in New York's 23-20 win over Miami last week.
San Francisco is 15-4 straight up and 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games. The 49ers had moved to 4-point road favorite status at 5Dimes by mid-week.
But beware the 49ers and their lame road chalk trend. They are just 3-13-1 ATS in their past 17 games in this situation, but this feels like a rebound game after last week's effort in Minnesota. [ Get Twitter updates on line moves and injury updates ]
The point spread was settled in at 3 favoring the host Jets earlier in the week, according to Sportsbook.ag. The over under line was hovering around 40.5, with movement expected during the week at Bovada.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Jets rated this week at No. 18 and the 49ers sitting at No. 11. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 28-26 result in favor of the Jets this week.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up New York's No. 11-ranked offense (27 PPG) against a 49ers defense that ranks No. 11 at 21.7 PPG. The Jets passing attack has averaged 231.7 yards per game, more than the 49ers give up through the air (230.3 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the 49ers own the league's No. 15-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 95.5 yards per game when on the road. New York, on the other hand, rates No. 14 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
In their last action, San Francisco was a 24-13 loser on the road against the Vikings. They failed to cover the 6.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (37) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. The 49ers suffered a Week 3 loss against Minnesota in their last game, falling 24-13 at The Metrodome.
The Jets were a 23-20 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Dolphins. They covered the 2.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (43) made winners of OVER bettors. In New York's last outing, Mark Sanchez threw for 306 yards to lead the Jets over Miami 23-20 at Sun Life Stadium.
San Francisco 49ers Trends:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 7-3
New York Jets Trends:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 4-6
A few 49ers at Jets trends to consider:
San Francisco is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Jets
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
San Francisco is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Jets last 6 games at home
NY Jets are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Jets last 7 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 17 of the NY Jets last 25 games
San Francisco home to Buffalo, Sunday, October 7
NY Jets home to Houston, Monday, October 8