49ers vs Rams, Thursday NFL Betting
The 49ers, coming off a puzzling home loss to the Colts, began the week as 3.5-point favorites over the host St. Louis Rams, who have had recent success against San Francisco.
The Rams have covered the spread in five of the last six meetings with the 49ers, including both games between the two NFC West rivals last season. But St. Louis looked bad in Sunday’s loss at Dallas, especially on the offensive side of the ball, where quarterback Sam Bradford’s up-and-down career continues.
The 49ers are on their first losing streak under coach Jim Harbaugh, after dropping back-to-back games against the Seattle Seahawks and Indianapolis Colts. Quarterback Colin Kaepernick has been shaky in the last two games, and the 49ers’ running game has been non-existent.
An interesting angle in divisional play, as the Rams are 7-1 ATS in 8 recent NFC West games while the 49ers are limping to a 1-9 ATS mark in 10 games within the division. The Rams are also riding a 6-1-1 ATS streak in their past 8 as a home underdog.
This season the Rams are 1-2 overall and 0-3 ATS against the number, while the 49ers are 1-2 and 1-2 ATS. As for the totals, St. Louis is 2-1 on the OU, and San Francisco is 1-2.
Bettors who were going with the Rams in this one found them listed as 3-point underdogs on the Week 4 betting line at 5Dimes. Totals bettors have seen that number set earlier in the week at 42 for Thursday's game over at Bovada.
The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Rams at No. 23 and the 49ers at No. 11 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 12-9 result in favor of the Rams.
In their last action, San Francisco was a 27-7 loser at home against the Colts. They failed to cover the 10.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (34) was profitable news for UNDER bettors.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up St. Louis's No. 23-ranked offense (19.33 PPG) against a 49ers defense that ranks No. 25 at 28 PPG. The Rams passing attack has averaged 282.67 yards per game, more than the 49ers give up through the air (199 YPG on average).
Defensively, the 49ers feature the league's No. 15-rated road run defense, allowing 114.5 yards per game. St. Louis, meanwhile, ranks No. 28 in rushing offense at home.
A few 49ers at Rams trends to consider:
San Francisco is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
San Francisco is 7-2-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
St. Louis is 2-7-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
San Francisco at Houston, Sunday, October 6th
St. Louis at Jacksonville, Sunday, October 6th