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Arizona is the biggest 11-3 underdog ever

If you looked at the standings and saw Arizona at 11-3 and then looked at the Week 16 odds and saw them as 9.5-point underdogs, you’d have to wonder – has any team with such a great record been an underdog of so many points.

Spoiler alert – the answer is no.

Not since we gathered the data from 1983 to present anyway. Two other occasions an 11-3 team was a 7-point underdog, and it happened on the same day. Atlanta laid a TD in 2004 at New Orleans and the Chargers were disrespected by the sportsbooks at Indianapolis (both lost).

[ Check the latest Arizona line at Bovada - they often have the best underdog odds on the NFL ]

Of course, there are factors at work here. Arizona is down to its third-string QB and the team they are facing is the red-hot Seattle Seahawks.

But laying almost 10 points at home? The other two games, the 11-3 team was on the road.

In fact, this is the only the second time an 11-3 team has been a home underdog. The other was Tennessee giving three points to Jacksonville in 1999. Ironic that the Jaguars were a favorite, given they just broke their 42-game-always-an-underdog streak this week, and more ironic that the team they are facing is Tennessee.

11-3 TeamYearDateSpreadResultFoe
Arizona2014Dec. 21, 149.5?vs Seattle
Atlanta2004Dec. 26, 047L 26-13at New Orleans
Baltimore2006Dec. 24, 064W 31-7at Pittsburgh
Buffalo1988Dec. 11, 88-6W 37-21vs Raiders
Carolina2008Dec. 21, 084L 34-28at Giants
Chicago2001Dec. 30, 01-5.5W 24-0 at Detroit
Chicago1988Dec. 11, 88-10.5W 13-12vs Detroit
Cincinnati2005Dec. 24, 05-13.5L 37-27 vs Buffalo
Cincinnati1988Dec. 11, 881.5L 41-6at Houston
Dallas1994Dec. 19, 94-9.5W 24-16at New Orleans
Dallas1992Dec. 21, 92-7.5W 41-17 at Atlanta
Denver2013Dec. 22, 13-9.5W 37-13at Houston
Denver2012Dec. 23, 12-10.5W 34-12vs Cleveland
Denver2005Dec. 24, 05-13.5W 22-3vs Oakland
Denver1997Dec. 15, 973.5L 34-17at San Francisco
Denver1984Dec. 9, 84-7.5W 16-13vs San Diego
Green Bay2002Dec. 22, 02-7W 10-0vs Buffalo
Green Bay1997Dec. 14, 97-6.5W 31-10at Carolina
Green Bay1996Dec. 15, 96-8W 31-3at Detroit
Indianapolis2006Dec. 24, 06-9L 27-24at Houston
Indianapolis2004Dec. 26, 04-7W 34-31vs San Diego
Indianapolis2003Dec. 21, 03-7L 31-17vs Denver
Kansas City2013Dec. 22, 13-7.5L 23-7 vs Indianapolis
Kansas City1997Dec. 14, 97-9W 29-7 at San Diego
Kansas City1995Dec. 17, 95-6W 20-17vs Denver
Miami1990Dec. 23, 903.5L 24-14at Buffalo
Minnesota2009Dec. 28, 09-8L 36-30at Chicago
Minnesota2000Dec. 17, 00-8.5L 33-28vs Green Bay
New England2011Dec. 24, 11-7W 27-24vs Miami
New Orleans2011Dec. 26, 11-7W 45-16 vs Atlanta
New Orleans1992Dec. 20, 92-3.5L 20-16vs Buffalo
New Orleans1987Dec. 27, 87-10W 33-24vs Green Bay
NY Giants2008Dec. 21, 08-4W 34-28vs Carolina
NY Giants1993Dec. 26, 93-3L 17-6 at Arizona
NY Giants1990Dec. 23, 90-6W 24-21at Arizona
Oakland2000Dec. 16, 00-7L 27-24at Seattle
Philadelphia2003Dec. 15, 032.5W 34-27at Miami
Philadelphia2002Dec. 21, 02-6.5W 27-3at Dallas
Pittsburgh2008Dec. 21, 08-3L 31-14at Tennessee
Pittsburgh1994Dec. 18, 94-3.5W 17-7 vs Browns
San Diego2009Dec. 25, 092W 42-17at Tennessee
San Diego2004Dec. 26, 047L 34-31at Indianapolis
San Francisco2011Dec. 24, 11-2.5W 19-17at Seattle
San Francisco2001Dec. 30, 01-6L 26-21at Dallas
San Francisco1998Dec. 20, 98-6.5L 24-21at New England
St. Louis2003Dec. 21, 03-7W 27-10vs Cincinnati
Tampa Bay2002Dec. 23, 02-8.5L 17-7vs Pittsburgh
Tennessee2000Dec. 17, 00-16W 24-0 at Cleveland
Tennessee1999Dec. 26, 993W 41-14vs Jacksonville
Washington1986Dec. 13, 863.5L 31-30at Denver

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