Baltimore favored by -3 against Cleveland on Sunday
|Baltimore Ravens||Cleveland Browns|
Back about a month ago the Cleveland Browns sat atop the AFC North at 3-2; since then the Brownies have lost three games in a row.
Cleveland will to try put an end to that slide when it hosts the defending Super Bowl champion Baltimore Ravens for an AFC North Divisional bout Sunday afternoon (4:25 pm ET, CBS).
The Browns are coming off a tough 23-17 loss at Kansas City, but covered as seven-point dogs to up their ATS record to 4-4 this season.
Baltimore, meanwhile, is coming off its bye week, after losing to Pittsburgh two weeks ago 19-16.
In the early Week 9 NFL wagering the Ravens, who have won the last 11 meetings in this rivalry, were favored by three points over Cleveland.
The Ravens are an impressive 10-1 ATS past 11 seasons after a bye week, while the Browns are just 1-5 ATS past 6 seasons before a bye week.
There are plenty of UNDER trends in play here, including the Ravens having played five straight UNDERs as road favorite.
They will face the 3-4 Ravens, who own a 3-4 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the Browns are 4-4 favoring the UNDER so far this season while the Ravens are 2-5 favoring the OVER.
According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 25-rated Browns and the No. 16-rated Ravens in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 20-16 win for the Ravens on Sunday.
Baltimore was a 19-16 loser in its last match on the road against the Steelers. They failed to cover the 2.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 35 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. In their last game, the Ravens were Week 7 losers coming out on the wrong end of 19-16 score against Pittsburgh. Cleveland lost its last outing 23-17 against Kansas City on Sunday, getting a 132-yard receiving performance from Josh Gordon in a losing cause at Arrowhead Stadium.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Cleveland's No. 25-ranked offense, averaging 18.5 PPG, against a Ravens defense that ranks No. 11 this week at 21.14 PPG. The Browns aerial game is averaging 234.38 yards per game, less than the Ravens secondary allows through the air, 238.71 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Ravens own the league's No. 14-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 107.75 yards per game when on the road. Cleveland, on the other hand, rates No. 25 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Ravens at Browns trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Baltimore is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Cleveland
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Cleveland's last 17 games at home
Baltimore at Cincinnati, Sunday, November 10th
Cleveland at Cincinnati, Sunday, November 17th