Bears Packers Week 17 Betting Preview
The NFC North title and a trip to the playoffs are on the line when the Chicago Bears host the Green Bay Packers on Sunday.
Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers was considered questionable, but he is active and will start, which opened the line late in the week with the Packers as road chalk at Bovada.
Rodgers was injured in the first meeting this season. The Bears, who were 9.5-point road underdogs at Bovada in that game, upset the Packers behind QB Josh McCown, 27-20. Jay Cutler is expected to start this week at Soldier Field.
Eleven of the last 12 Bears-Packers games have stayed UNDER the total, but 11 of Chicago’s 15 games this season have gone OVER.
Some more Bears vs Packers trends of note include the Packers are 9-3 ATS past 12 games vs Bears; the UNDER is 11-1 past 12 meetings of Bears and Packers; Packers are 12-3 ATS past 15 trips to Soldier Field and; the Bears are 1-7 ATS past eight divisional games.
The Packers will try to spoil to the party on Sunday; they are 6-8-1 ATS against the number this season, while the Bears are 4-10-1 ATS. Green Bay is 8-7 on the totals; Chicago is 11-4.
Packers Bears odds: Special Aaron Rodgers props from Bovada:
Total Passing Yards - Aaron Rodgers (GB)
Over / Under 290½
Total Completions - Aaron Rodgers (GB)
Over / Under 23½
Total TD Passes - Aaron Rodgers (GB)
Over 2½ (+125)
Under 2½ (-155)
Total Interceptions - Aaron Rodgers (GB)
Over ½ (-130)
Under ½ (EVEN)
This game matches up the No. 17 (Bears) and the No. 23 (Packers) teams in the league, according to our current NFL Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 26-24 result in favor of the Bears is predicted by handicapping models.
Green Bay lost its last outing, a 38-31 result against the Steelers on December 22. The Packers failed to cover in that game as a 1-point underdog, while the 69 combined points took the game OVER the total.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Chicago's No. 3-ranked offense (27.8 PPG) against a Packers defense that ranks No. 24 at 26.67 PPG. The Bears passing attack has averaged 270.47 yards per game, more than the Packers give up through the air (248.8 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Packers own the league's No. 13-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 111.86 yards per game when on the road. Chicago, on the other hand, rates No. 23 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Packers at Bears trends to consider:
Green Bay is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Green Bay is 2-5-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games
Green Bay is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Chicago is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
Chicago is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Green Bay home to , Wednesday, December 31st
Chicago home to , Wednesday, December 31st