Raiders stumble as favorites
The Bears are in good shape for an NFC Wild Card but they face a stumbling block in visiting the Oakland Raiders on the Week 12 NFL wagering menu.
Chicago is 7-1-1 ATS since 1980 against the Raiders and they have won 7 of 10 overall on the road. Oakland has rebounded well from a pair of bad losses to beat the Chargers and Vikings in recent weeks and look to be in position for a playoff berth.
The Bears however have lost 6 of 8 as a road dog, a situation that applies here. The Raiders however have only covered twice in their past 18 games as a favorite.
Sportsbooks had the Raiders pegged as 1.5-point underdogs in this matchup but the line swung 4.5 points during the week and the Raiders now see favorite action at all shops including BetOnline. The total, meanwhile, was listed by the books at 46 but has been bet down to 41 at 5Dimes.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The game pits the Raiders, currently No. 15 in our OddsShark NFL Power Rankings, against the Bears, who rate No. 14 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 30-22 victory for the Bears.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Oakland's No. 14-ranked offense, averaging 23.5 PPG, against a Bears defense that ranks No. 13 this week at 20.7 PPG. The Raiders aerial game is averaging 219.7 yards per game, less than the Bears secondary allows through the air, 270.7 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Bears feature the league's No. 15-rated road run defense, allowing 112 yards per game. Oakland, meanwhile, ranks No. 6 in rushing offense at home.
In their last action, Chicago was a 31-20 winner at home against the Chargers. They covered the 4.5–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (51) was profitable news for OVER bettors. The Bears's last action saw them get a 2-TD performance from Jay Cutler as they handed San Diego a 31-20 loss at Soldier Field.
In their last action, Oakland was a 27-21 winner on the road against the Vikings. They covered the 2–point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (48) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Michael Bush tore up the turf for 109 rushing yards in the latest Raiders game, a 27-21 win over the Vikings at The Metrodome.
Chicago Bears Trends:
When playing in November are 7-3
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 8-2
Oakland Raiders Trends:
When playing in November are 4-6
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 4-6
A few Bears at Raiders trends to consider:
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 9 games at home
Oakland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Chicago home to Kansas City, Sunday, December 4
Oakland at Miami, Sunday, December 4