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Bears vs Cowboys Monday Night Pick

It could be a defensive battle when the Dallas Cowboys host the Chicago Bears this Monday night at Cowboys Stadium.

The total has gone UNDER in seven of the last 10 meetings between these two teams. Usually known for its prolific offense, Dallas is actually 14-6 on the UNDER in its last 20 games including UNDERs in six straight.

But the Monday Night trends seems to favor the Bears. The Cowboys are just 1-6 ATS in their past 7 Monday Nighters, while the Bears are 6-2 ATS in 8 MNF battles. On the road and going back to the 1990s, they are 8-3 ATS in 11 MNF games. [ BET ON MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL NOW AND POCKET A 50% BONUS AT Bovada ]

View Chicago vs Dallas Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Sportsbooks such as Bovada had the Cowboys pegged as 3.5-point favorites in this matchup. The total, meanwhile, was listed by books like TopBet at 45.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Cowboys at No. 12 and the Bears at No. 13 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 27-16 result in favor of the Bears.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Dallas's No. 31-ranked offense (15.7 PPG) against a Bears defense that ranks No. 5 at 16.7 PPG. The Cowboys passing attack has averaged 265.3 yards per game, more than the Bears give up through the air (203 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Bears feature the league's No. 18-rated road run defense, allowing 106 yards per game. Dallas, meanwhile, ranks No. 32 in rushing offense at home.

Chicago won its last outing, a 23-6 result against the Rams on September 23. The Bears covered in that game as a 7-point favorite, while the 29 combined points took the game UNDER the total. The Bears grabbed a Week 3 victory over the Rams in their last game, winning 23-6 at Soldier Field.

Last time out for Dallas, they were a 16-10 winner as they battled the Buccaneers at home. The Cowboys failed to cover in the match as a 7.5-point favorite, while 26 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Miles Austin hauled in 5 passes for 107 yards against the Tampa Bay defense in the team's last game, leading Dallas over the Buccaneers 16-10 on Sunday.

Chicago Bears Trends:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 6-4

Dallas Cowboys Trends:
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 6-4

 

A few Bears at Cowboys trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games when playing Dallas
Chicago is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Chicago is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games when playing Chicago

Next up:
Chicago at Jacksonville, Sunday, October 7
Dallas at Baltimore, Sunday, October 14