The lowest NFL betting total of Week 1 is the AFC North battle between the Cleveland Browns and the Cincinnati Bengals, and it may be a better bet than the point spread, where each team is in a poor ATS situation.
The Bengals are 1-11 ATS in their past 12 games as an underdog, while the Browns are 1-9-1 ATS in their past 11 season openers. Goood luck trying to decipher something meaningful from those competing trends of incompetence.
Betting Line: The visitors opened as 3-point underdogs in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark, while the total was hovering around 37.5 at most shops.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The Browns sit at No. 27 in the current NFL Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Bengals are at No. 22 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Browns will win this game 17-16.
Cincinnati Bengals Trends:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the division are 6-4
Cleveland Browns Trends:
When playing in September are 1-9
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the division are 2-8
A few Bengals at Browns trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing Cleveland
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 12 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Cincinnati at Denver, Sunday, September 18
Cleveland at Indianapolis, Sunday, September 18