Scrap your Super Bowl future bets on the Patriots and Packers and load up on the 49ers and Texans.
The results of the first two weeks of the season historically mean New England and Green Bay – favorites just two weeks ago – will not be playing in Super Bowl XVII in New Orleans.
The reason? They did not start the year 2-0, a fact that has doomed every NFL team in the past six years (except the New York Giants).
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There are only six remaining unbeaten teams heading to Week 3, meaning that either Houston or San Diego will be the AFC champion. On the NFC side, Philadelphia, Atlanta, San Francisco and 60/1 longshot Arizona are 2-0.
Online sportsbook seemingly caught on to this fact and has adjusted its Super Bowl odds accordingly. The Pats and Pack are below the 49ers and Texans as new Super Bowl favorites.
On the flip side, the Saints were considered contenders, but their 0-2 start has done more than drop their Super Bowl future odds. It basically means they won’t make the playoffs (and you can turn a +160 profit if you bet now at and the Saints come back to make the playoffs).
Since the start of the 2008 season, 35 teams have started 0-2. Only two have turned it around to make the playoffs (the 2008 Dolphins and 2008 Vikings). All of the rest were sunk by mid-September, a depressing stat if you are a Saints fan.
Teams That Started 2-0 (yes made playoffs, no did not)
Bills 6-10 no
Lions 10-6 yes
Packers 15-1 yes
Texans 10-6 yes
Jets 7-9 no
Patriots 13-3 yes, (lost Super Bowl)
Redskins 7-9 no
Bears, 11-5 yes
Packers, 10-6 yes (won Super Bowl)
Texans, 6-10 no
Chiefs, 10-6 yes
Dolphins, 7-9 no
Saints, 11-5 no
Steelers, 12-4 yes (lost Super Bowl)
Buccaneers, 10-6 no
Falcons, 11-5 no
Ravens, 9-7 yes
Broncos, 8-8 no (lost last four games)
Colts, 14-2 yes (lost Super Bowl)
Vikings, 12-4 yes
Giants, 8-8 no
Jets, 9-7 yes
Saints, 13-3 yes (won Super Bowl)
49ers, 8-8 no
Cardinals, 9-7 yes (lost Super Bowl)
Ravens, 11-5 yes
Bills, 7-9 no
Panthers, 12-4 yes
Cowboys, 9-7 no
Broncos, 8-8 no
Packers, 6-10 no
Giants, 12-4 yes
Patriots, 11-5 no
Steelers, 12-4 yes (won Super Bowl)
Titans, 13-3 yes
Giants were 0-2, Patriots 2-0
Colts and Bears were both 2-0